Estadísticas / Fútbol / Germany. Frauen Bundesliga / RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W

RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W Statistics & Analysis

May 11, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 RB Leipzig W Bayer Leverkusen W ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "24c7e257b2e339d2ce1b528fe79d9107f72a1edfe54ca23fe1f959a9e2e3ad22",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen W",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "Bayer Leverkusen W"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "RB Leipzig W",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.2332,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.1844,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 6,
        "away_played": 24,
        "away_score_rate": 75.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 24,
        "home_score_rate": 79.2,
        "no_prob": 40.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 59.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 59.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.85,
        "home_expected": 1.45,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 6.8
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 6.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "RB Leipzig W or Draw",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "RB Leipzig W or Bayer Leverkusen W",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Bayer Leverkusen W",
            "prob": 100.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Bayer Leverkusen W",
        "pick_prob": 100.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 50.0,
        "draw_pct": 50.0,
        "home_pct": 0.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.3,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 64.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 64.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.3,
        "under_prob": 35.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 9.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0651,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.1844,
        "max_ev": 0.0651,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "RB Leipzig W",
        "sort_key": 10208.59,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": false,
        "ev_over": null,
        "ev_under": null,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": null,
        "over_prob": 64.1,
        "sort_key": 4050.0,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 35.9,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": false,
        "ev_no": null,
        "ev_yes": null,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": null,
        "no_prob": 40.6,
        "sort_key": 4050.0,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 59.4
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1859,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1859.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Bayer Leverkusen W",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1401381,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 20501,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/20501.webp",
      "home_team_name": "RB Leipzig W",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 82,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/82.webp",
      "league_name": "Frauen Bundesliga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3654,
            "best_odd": 1.56,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0953,
            "ev": -0.2339,
            "implied_prob": 0.5863,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.4911
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2877,
            "best_odd": 3.99,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0079,
            "ev": -0.0538,
            "implied_prob": 0.2292,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2371
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.13,
            "best_odd": 4.96,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0303,
            "ev": 0.0651,
            "implied_prob": 0.1844,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.2147
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "ev_available": false,
          "n_bookmakers": 0,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "ev_available": false,
          "n_bookmakers": 0,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0651,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "B",
        "stake_factor": 0.5
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.594,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.641,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.359,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0303,
          "ev": 0.0651,
          "implied_prob": 0.1844,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "RB Leipzig W"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.594,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.641,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1401381,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0651,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Bayer Leverkusen W",
        "home": "RB Leipzig W"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.027192,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0651,
        "implied_prob": 0.1844,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "RB Leipzig W",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1401381,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T11:59:10.145264+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Frauen Bundesliga Frauen BundesligaClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 25 23 2 0 71
2 VfL Wolfsburg W 25 17 4 4 55
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 25 15 3 7 48
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 25 15 1 9 46
5 1899 Hoffenheim W 25 14 3 8 45
6 Werder Bremen W 25 11 7 7 40
7 FC Koln W 25 10 4 11 34
8 SC Freiburg W 25 10 3 12 33
9 Union Berlin W 25 8 6 11 30
10 RB Leipzig W 25 7 6 12 27
11 Nürnberg W 25 6 4 15 22
12 Hamburger SV W 25 4 6 15 18
13 SGS Essen W 25 3 6 16 15
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 25 2 5 18 11
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 25 89 9 +80 71
2 VfL Wolfsburg W 25 69 37 +32 55
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 25 61 41 +20 48
4 1899 Hoffenheim W 25 48 30 +18 45
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 25 45 33 +12 46
6 SC Freiburg W 25 43 45 -2 33
7 Union Berlin W 25 40 47 -7 30
8 Werder Bremen W 25 39 35 +4 40
9 RB Leipzig W 25 39 48 -9 27
10 FC Koln W 25 33 37 -4 34
11 Nürnberg W 25 32 58 -26 22
12 Hamburger SV W 25 26 56 -30 18
13 Carl Zeiss Jena W 25 22 69 -47 11
14 SGS Essen W 25 21 62 -41 15