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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Benfica B Academico Viseu ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "e32189b4b0f3ccc448cec461af3839da500fc95a45112f29478e1d1f5630fff8",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.95,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Benfica B or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Benfica B"
},
"away_xg": 0.95,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Benfica B",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1139,
"edge_gap": 0.1447,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3178,
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 28.1,
"draw": 28.7,
"home": 43.2
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 14,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 78.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 84.4,
"no_prob": 34.1,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 65.9,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 65.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.55,
"home_expected": 1.15,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.7
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Benfica B or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Benfica B or Academico Viseu",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Academico Viseu",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Benfica B or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Benfica B"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.7,
"away_avg_scored": 1.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.6,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.7,
"under_prob": 49.4
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.0
}
},
"home_xg": 1.25,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2498,
"ev_yes": 0.1401,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1401,
"no_prob": 34.1,
"sort_key": 10276.09,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 65.9
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0383,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3178,
"max_ev": 0.0383,
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"side_label": "Benfica B",
"sort_key": 10034.47,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0538,
"ev_under": -0.0219,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0219,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"sort_key": 1794.525,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 49.4,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.0
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 238,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/238.webp",
"away_team_name": "Academico Viseu",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pt.svg",
"country_name": "Portugal",
"fixture_id": 1398257,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 229,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/229.webp",
"home_team_name": "Benfica B",
"league_country": "Portugal",
"league_id": 95,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/95.webp",
"league_name": "Segunda Liga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3552,
"best_odd": 2.26,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0499,
"ev": -0.1595,
"implied_prob": 0.4218,
"model_prob": 0.2813,
"p_final": 0.3719
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2881,
"best_odd": 3.66,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0076,
"ev": -0.0188,
"implied_prob": 0.2605,
"model_prob": 0.287,
"p_final": 0.2681
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2487,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0283,
"ev": 0.0383,
"implied_prob": 0.3178,
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"p_final": 0.3461
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.2,
"best_yes_odd": 1.73,
"edge_no": -0.1015,
"edge_yes": 0.1015,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2498,
"ev_yes": 0.1401,
"implied_no": 0.4425,
"implied_yes": 0.5575,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.87,
"best_under_odd": 1.98,
"edge_over": -0.0085,
"edge_under": 0.0085,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0538,
"ev_under": -0.0219,
"implied_over": 0.5145,
"implied_under": 0.4855,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.2,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1401,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.659,
"draw_prob": 0.287,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4317,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.2,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.3
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0283,
"ev": 0.0383,
"implied_prob": 0.3178,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4317,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Benfica B"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1015,
"ev": 0.1401,
"implied_prob": 0.5575,
"model_prob": 0.659,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0085,
"ev": -0.0219,
"implied_prob": 0.4855,
"model_prob": 0.494,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1398257,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1401,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2813,
"draw": 0.287,
"home": 0.4317
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Academico Viseu",
"home": "Benfica B"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.092326,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1401,
"implied_prob": 0.5575,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.659,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1398257,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:00:09.680887+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Segunda Liga — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 58 |
| 3 | Torreense | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Vizela | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | União de Leiria | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 47 |
| 8 | Feirense | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 11 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 33 | 13 | 2 | 18 | 41 |
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 |
| 15 | Farense | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 34 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico Viseu | 33 | 58 | 33 | +25 | 58 |
| 2 | Maritimo | 34 | 50 | 29 | +21 | 66 |
| 3 | União de Leiria | 33 | 50 | 44 | +6 | 49 |
| 4 | Leixoes | 33 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 47 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 34 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 6 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 33 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 43 |
| 7 | Torreense | 33 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 56 |
| 8 | Chaves | 34 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Sporting CP B | 33 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 41 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 34 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Vizela | 33 | 39 | 36 | +3 | 51 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 33 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 33 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 41 |
| 14 | Feirense | 33 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 33 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 33 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 | Farense | 33 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 40 |
| 18 | Felgueiras 1932 | 33 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 41 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 9.6 | 5.5 | +4.1 | 66 |
| 2 | Chaves | 34 | 7.5 | 4.3 | +3.2 | 45 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu | 33 | 8.5 | 6.2 | +2.3 | 58 |
| 4 | Feirense | 33 | 2.9 | 1.1 | +1.8 | 45 |
| 5 | Leixoes | 33 | 7.9 | 7.1 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 6 | Portimonense | 33 | 6.2 | 5.4 | +0.8 | 37 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 34 | 4.1 | 3.5 | +0.6 | 44 |
| 8 | Felgueiras 1932 | 33 | 7.2 | 6.7 | +0.5 | 41 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 33 | 8.6 | 8.2 | +0.4 | 49 |
| 10 | Sporting CP B | 33 | 3.6 | 3.2 | +0.4 | 41 |
| 11 | Farense | 33 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -0.4 | 40 |
| 12 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 33 | 7.6 | 8.5 | -0.9 | 43 |
| 13 | Vizela | 33 | 3.1 | 4.4 | -1.3 | 51 |
| 14 | Oliveirense | 33 | 6.8 | 8.7 | -1.9 | 34 |
| 15 | Torreense | 33 | 3.1 | 5.0 | -1.9 | 56 |
| 16 | Penafiel | 33 | 4.7 | 7.3 | -2.6 | 41 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 34 | 4.0 | 6.7 | -2.7 | 51 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 33 | 4.0 | 7.3 | -3.3 | 36 |
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