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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Gurten Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "f75be9130341f3a5b67e151e9eddeec857faa62ee7f431b8505f6dcd7e070841",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Gurten or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Gurten"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Gurten",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0788,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3388,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 26,
"away_score_rate": 73.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 15,
"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 26,
"home_score_rate": 80.8,
"no_prob": 41.0,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 59.0,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 59.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.3,
"home_expected": 1.35,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Gurten or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Gurten or Oedt",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Oedt",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Gurten or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Gurten"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.65,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 49.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.6,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.65,
"under_prob": 50.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Oedt",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Gurten",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 33.88,
"gap_pp": 7.88,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.82,
"gap_pp": -3.15,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 37.3,
"gap_pp": -4.73,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.77,
"gap_pp": 2.63,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 49.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.23,
"gap_pp": -2.63,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 50.6
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.62,
"early": 2.62,
"implied_closing_pct": 33.88,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 33.88,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.08,
"early": 3.08,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.82,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.82,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.38,
"early": 2.38,
"implied_closing_pct": 37.3,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 37.3,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.98,
"early": 1.98,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.77,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.77,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.74,
"early": 1.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.23,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 7.9,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2005,
"ev_yes": 0.0207,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0207,
"no_prob": 41.0,
"sort_key": 5216.56,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 59.0
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0127,
"ev_under": -0.1145,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0127,
"over_prob": 49.4,
"sort_key": 5210.16,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 50.6,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0303,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3388,
"max_ev": -0.0303,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Gurten",
"sort_key": 1792.425,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 4979,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4979.webp",
"away_team_name": "Oedt",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
"country_name": "Austria",
"fixture_id": 1397943,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 4942,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4942.webp",
"home_team_name": "Gurten",
"league_country": "Austria",
"league_id": 222,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/222.webp",
"league_name": "Regionalliga - Mitte",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4181,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0198,
"ev": -0.1594,
"implied_prob": 0.373,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3532
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2858,
"best_odd": 3.08,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.009,
"ev": -0.1401,
"implied_prob": 0.2882,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2792
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3968,
"best_odd": 2.62,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0313,
"ev": -0.0303,
"implied_prob": 0.3388,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3701
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.95,
"best_yes_odd": 1.73,
"edge_no": -0.0617,
"edge_yes": 0.0617,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2005,
"ev_yes": 0.0207,
"implied_no": 0.4717,
"implied_yes": 0.5283,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.05,
"best_under_odd": 1.75,
"edge_over": 0.0253,
"edge_under": -0.0253,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0127,
"ev_under": -0.1145,
"implied_over": 0.4687,
"implied_under": 0.5313,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0207,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.59,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.494,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.506,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0207,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.5283,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.59,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0313,
"ev": -0.0303,
"implied_prob": 0.3388,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Gurten"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0617,
"ev": 0.0207,
"implied_prob": 0.5283,
"model_prob": 0.59,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0253,
"ev": 0.0127,
"implied_prob": 0.4687,
"model_prob": 0.494,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1397943,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0207,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Oedt",
"home": "Gurten"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1397943,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:59:09.851563+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Regionalliga - Mitte — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Voitsberg | 27 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 73 |
| 2 | Gurten | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 55 |
| 3 | Kalsdorf | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49 |
| 4 | Oedt | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | LASK Juniors | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47 |
| 6 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 47 |
| 7 | Velden | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 39 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Weiz | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 |
| 10 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 |
| 11 | Wohnbau Dietach | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 28 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC II | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 |
| 13 | Gleisdorf 09 | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 |
| 14 | Ried II | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22 |
| 15 | Treibach | 27 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Anna | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 8 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Voitsberg | 27 | 103 | 19 | +84 | 73 |
| 2 | LASK Juniors | 26 | 61 | 32 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 | Weiz | 27 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 38 |
| 4 | Kalsdorf | 27 | 54 | 43 | +11 | 49 |
| 5 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 27 | 54 | 45 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gurten | 27 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 55 |
| 7 | Oedt | 27 | 52 | 28 | +24 | 48 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 27 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Velden | 27 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 27 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 37 |
| 11 | Gleisdorf 09 | 27 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
| 12 | Ried II | 27 | 38 | 67 | -29 | 22 |
| 13 | Wolfsberger AC II | 26 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Treibach | 27 | 29 | 64 | -35 | 20 |
| 15 | Wohnbau Dietach | 27 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Anna | 27 | 18 | 71 | -53 | 8 |