Gurten vs Oedt Statistics & Analysis

May 15, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gurten Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "f75be9130341f3a5b67e151e9eddeec857faa62ee7f431b8505f6dcd7e070841",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Gurten or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Gurten"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Gurten",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0788,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3388,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 26,
        "away_score_rate": 73.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 15,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 26,
        "home_score_rate": 80.8,
        "no_prob": 41.0,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 59.0,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 59.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.3,
        "home_expected": 1.35,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Gurten or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Gurten or Oedt",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Oedt",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Gurten or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Gurten"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.65,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "over_prob": 49.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 50.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.65,
        "under_prob": 50.6
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Oedt",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Gurten",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 33.88,
          "gap_pp": 7.88,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 28.82,
          "gap_pp": -3.15,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.3,
          "gap_pp": -4.73,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 46.77,
          "gap_pp": 2.63,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 49.4
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 53.23,
          "gap_pp": -2.63,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 50.6
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.62,
          "early": 2.62,
          "implied_closing_pct": 33.88,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 33.88,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.08,
          "early": 3.08,
          "implied_closing_pct": 28.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 28.82,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.38,
          "early": 2.38,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.3,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.3,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.98,
          "early": 1.98,
          "implied_closing_pct": 46.77,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 46.77,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.74,
          "early": 1.74,
          "implied_closing_pct": 53.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 53.23,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 7.9,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.2005,
        "ev_yes": 0.0207,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0207,
        "no_prob": 41.0,
        "sort_key": 5216.56,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 59.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0127,
        "ev_under": -0.1145,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0127,
        "over_prob": 49.4,
        "sort_key": 5210.16,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 50.6,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0303,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3388,
        "max_ev": -0.0303,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Gurten",
        "sort_key": 1792.425,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.4
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 4979,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4979.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Oedt",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
      "country_name": "Austria",
      "fixture_id": 1397943,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 4942,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4942.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Gurten",
      "league_country": "Austria",
      "league_id": 222,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/222.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - Mitte",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4181,
            "best_odd": 2.38,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0198,
            "ev": -0.1594,
            "implied_prob": 0.373,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3532
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2858,
            "best_odd": 3.08,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.009,
            "ev": -0.1401,
            "implied_prob": 0.2882,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2792
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3968,
            "best_odd": 2.62,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0313,
            "ev": -0.0303,
            "implied_prob": 0.3388,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3701
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.95,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.73,
          "edge_no": -0.0617,
          "edge_yes": 0.0617,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2005,
          "ev_yes": 0.0207,
          "implied_no": 0.4717,
          "implied_yes": 0.5283,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.05,
          "best_under_odd": 1.75,
          "edge_over": 0.0253,
          "edge_under": -0.0253,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0127,
          "ev_under": -0.1145,
          "implied_over": 0.4687,
          "implied_under": 0.5313,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0207,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.59,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.494,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.506,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0207,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.5283,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.59,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0313,
          "ev": -0.0303,
          "implied_prob": 0.3388,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Gurten"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0617,
          "ev": 0.0207,
          "implied_prob": 0.5283,
          "model_prob": 0.59,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0253,
          "ev": 0.0127,
          "implied_prob": 0.4687,
          "model_prob": 0.494,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1397943,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0207,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Oedt",
        "home": "Gurten"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1397943,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T16:59:09.851563+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Regionalliga - Mitte Regionalliga - MitteClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Voitsberg 27 24 1 2 73
2 Gurten 27 17 4 6 55
3 Kalsdorf 27 15 4 8 49
4 Oedt 27 13 9 5 48
5 LASK Juniors 26 14 5 7 47
6 Deutschlandsberger SC 27 13 8 6 47
7 Velden 27 11 6 10 39
8 SV Lafnitz 27 11 6 10 39
9 Weiz 27 10 8 9 38
10 Wallern / Marienkirchen 27 11 4 12 37
11 Wohnbau Dietach 27 8 4 15 28
12 Wolfsberger AC II 26 7 6 13 27
13 Gleisdorf 09 27 6 8 13 26
14 Ried II 27 6 4 17 22
15 Treibach 27 6 2 19 20
16 St. Anna 27 1 5 21 8
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Voitsberg 27 103 19 +84 73
2 LASK Juniors 26 61 32 +29 47
3 Weiz 27 58 60 -2 38
4 Kalsdorf 27 54 43 +11 49
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 27 54 45 +9 47
6 Gurten 27 53 28 +25 55
7 Oedt 27 52 28 +24 48
8 SV Lafnitz 27 50 54 -4 39
9 Velden 27 43 44 -1 39
10 Wallern / Marienkirchen 27 40 42 -2 37
11 Gleisdorf 09 27 40 68 -28 26
12 Ried II 27 38 67 -29 22
13 Wolfsberger AC II 26 31 38 -7 27
14 Treibach 27 29 64 -35 20
15 Wohnbau Dietach 27 28 49 -21 28
16 St. Anna 27 18 71 -53 8