Penya Encarnada vs Ranger's Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Ranger\u0027s",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Ranger\u0027s"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Penya Encarnada",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.2814,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.1362,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 22,
        "away_score_rate": 81.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 22,
        "home_score_rate": 50.0,
        "no_prob": 59.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 40.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.8,
        "home_expected": 0.9,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 12.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.9
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 10.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 9.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 6.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Penya Encarnada or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Penya Encarnada or Ranger\u0027s",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Ranger\u0027s",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Ranger\u0027s",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
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        "avg_total": 2.7,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.9,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 50.6,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 50.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.7,
        "under_prob": 49.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 12.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1154,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.1362,
        "max_ev": 0.1154,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Penya Encarnada",
        "sort_key": 10253.86,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_yes": -0.1697,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
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        "no_prob": 59.1,
        "sort_key": 10030.78,
        "tier": "best",
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        "yes_prob": 40.9
      },
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        "under_prob": 49.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
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        "id": "correct_score",
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
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      }
    ],
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      "away_team_id": 3353,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3353.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Ranger\u0027s",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ad.svg",
      "country_name": "Andorra",
      "fixture_id": 1396762,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 3352,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3352.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Penya Encarnada",
      "league_country": "Andorra",
      "league_id": 312,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/312.webp",
      "league_name": "1a Divisi\u00f3",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
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            "best_odd": 1.38,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": -0.2376,
            "implied_prob": 0.6524,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.5525
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1864,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "implied_over": 0.5285,
          "implied_under": 0.4715,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
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          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "B",
        "stake_factor": 0.5
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        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
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          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.494,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Penya Encarnada"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "model_prob": 0.591,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
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        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Ranger\u0027s",
        "home": "Penya Encarnada"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.048203,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1154,
        "implied_prob": 0.1362,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Penya Encarnada",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1396762,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:59:04.292672+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}