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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Konyaspor Fenerbahçe ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "6aacde60a0585fe8814616b7b8d99c5a362a6659df6b12436d2b631284ac3333",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.55,
"away_win_prob": 0.3573,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2639,
"fair_odds_away": 2.8,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.79,
"fair_odds_home": 2.64,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.6,
"home_win_prob": 0.3788,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Fenerbah\u00e7e",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Fenerbah\u00e7e"
},
"away_xg": 1.55,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Konyaspor",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1909,
"edge_gap": 0.0216,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.188,
"model_prob": 0.3789,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 35.7,
"draw": 26.4,
"home": 37.9
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 5.1
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 5.1,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Konyaspor Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 5.32,
"market_odds": 5.1,
"model_odds": 2.64,
"overround": 4.3,
"prob_edge": 18.3,
"value_pct": 93.2,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 10,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 78.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 6,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 79.8,
"no_prob": 35.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 64.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 64.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.55,
"home_expected": 1.6,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 6.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 6.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Konyaspor or Draw",
"prob": 64.3
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Konyaspor or Fenerbah\u00e7e",
"prob": 73.6
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Fenerbah\u00e7e",
"prob": 62.1
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Konyaspor or Fenerbah\u00e7e",
"pick_prob": 73.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 35.7,
"draw_pct": 26.4,
"home_pct": 37.9,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Konyaspor"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.15,
"away_avg_scored": 2.2,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.15,
"under_prob": 39.0
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 93.3,
"implied_prob": 19.6,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Konyaspor Win",
"model_prob": 37.9,
"odds": 5.1
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.6,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2124,
"ev_yes": 0.0978,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0978,
"no_prob": 35.8,
"sort_key": 10238.02,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 64.2
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0978,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.188,
"max_ev": 0.0978,
"model_prob": 0.3789,
"side_label": "Konyaspor",
"sort_key": 10088.02,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0492,
"ev_under": -0.1225,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0492,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"sort_key": 10044.28,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 39.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 611,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/611.webp",
"away_team_name": "Fenerbah\u00e7e",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
"country_name": "Turkey",
"fixture_id": 1394729,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 607,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/607.webp",
"home_team_name": "Konyaspor",
"league_country": "Turkey",
"league_id": 203,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
"league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4109,
"best_odd": 1.69,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0863,
"ev": -0.1871,
"implied_prob": 0.5674,
"model_prob": 0.3572,
"p_final": 0.481
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2913,
"best_odd": 3.92,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0056,
"ev": -0.0191,
"implied_prob": 0.2446,
"model_prob": 0.2639,
"p_final": 0.2502
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1427,
"best_odd": 5.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0272,
"ev": 0.0978,
"implied_prob": 0.188,
"model_prob": 0.3789,
"p_final": 0.2153
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.2,
"best_yes_odd": 1.71,
"edge_no": -0.0815,
"edge_yes": 0.0815,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2124,
"ev_yes": 0.0978,
"implied_no": 0.4395,
"implied_yes": 0.5605,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.72,
"best_under_odd": 2.25,
"edge_over": 0.0422,
"edge_under": -0.0422,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0492,
"ev_under": -0.1225,
"implied_over": 0.5678,
"implied_under": 0.4322,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.15,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0978,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.642,
"draw_prob": 0.2639,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3789,
"over_prob": 0.61,
"total_xg": 3.15,
"under_prob": 0.39,
"xg_diff": 0.05
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0272,
"ev": 0.0978,
"implied_prob": 0.188,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3789,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Konyaspor"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0815,
"ev": 0.0978,
"implied_prob": 0.5605,
"model_prob": 0.642,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0422,
"ev": 0.0492,
"implied_prob": 0.5678,
"model_prob": 0.61,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1394729,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0978,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3572,
"draw": 0.2639,
"home": 0.3789
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Fenerbah\u00e7e",
"home": "Konyaspor"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.072206,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0978,
"implied_prob": 0.5605,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.642,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1394729,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:59:14.192769+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Süper Lig — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 73 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 69 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Göztepe | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Başakşehir | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 33 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 13 | Eyüpspor | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 32 |
| 14 | Kasımpaşa | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 |
| 15 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 |
| 18 | Fatih Karagümrük | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 33 | 77 | 29 | +48 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 33 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 73 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 33 | 61 | 36 | +25 | 69 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 60 |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 33 | 56 | 34 | +22 | 54 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 34 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 41 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 33 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 48 |
| 8 | Göztepe | 33 | 42 | 29 | +13 | 55 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 33 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Gaziantep FK | 33 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 33 | 40 | 39 | +1 | 37 |
| 12 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 33 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
| 13 | Kasımpaşa | 33 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 33 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 29 |
| 15 | Eyüpspor | 33 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 32 |
| 16 | Fatih Karagümrük | 33 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 33 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 | Kayserispor | 33 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 27 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 33 | 68.0 | 32.0 | +36.0 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 33 | 63.7 | 29.5 | +34.2 | 73 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 60.8 | 33.9 | +26.9 | 60 |
| 4 | Göztepe | 33 | 44.4 | 33.6 | +10.8 | 55 |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 33 | 51.3 | 42.1 | +9.2 | 54 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 33 | 49.8 | 42.2 | +7.6 | 69 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 33 | 41.0 | 36.7 | +4.3 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 42.4 | 43.7 | -1.3 | 41 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 33 | 29.8 | 31.9 | -2.1 | 37 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 33 | 42.8 | 46.0 | -3.2 | 40 |
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 33 | 43.7 | 48.6 | -4.9 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 33 | 33.9 | 42.4 | -8.5 | 37 |
| 13 | Kayserispor | 33 | 36.5 | 50.5 | -14.0 | 27 |
| 14 | Kasımpaşa | 33 | 28.5 | 43.2 | -14.7 | 32 |
| 15 | Fatih Karagümrük | 33 | 31.4 | 47.2 | -15.8 | 27 |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 33 | 33.3 | 50.8 | -17.5 | 31 |
| 17 | Eyüpspor | 33 | 33.9 | 52.0 | -18.1 | 32 |
| 18 | Antalyaspor | 33 | 26.5 | 54.9 | -28.4 | 29 |