Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.2213,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.33,
      "fair_odds_away": 4.52,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.03,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.23,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.23,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4487,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Kocaelispor or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Kocaelispor"
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    "away_xg": 0.79,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "confidence": "low",
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        "edge": 0.001,
        "edge_gap": 0.1184,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4475,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 22.1,
          "draw": 33.0,
          "home": 44.9
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        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.15
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      "value_bet": {
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        "display_market": "Kocaelispor Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.23,
        "market_odds": 2.15,
        "model_odds": 2.23,
        "overround": 3.9,
        "prob_edge": -1.7,
        "value_pct": -3.6,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 54.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 13,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 70.8,
        "no_prob": 59.7,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.7,
        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "yes_prob": 40.3
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        "home_expected": 1.23,
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 16.3
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          {
            "away": 0,
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            "prob": 13.3
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            "away": 1,
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            "away": 1,
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
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      "double_chance": {
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            "key": "12",
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            "prob": 67.0
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        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Kocaelispor or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 77.9
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      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 22.1,
        "draw_pct": 33.0,
        "home_pct": 44.9,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Kocaelispor"
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      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.02,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 32.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.02,
        "under_prob": 67.1
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        "implied_prob": 29.3,
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 3.41
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "probability": 16.3
      },
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
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    "home_xg": 1.23,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": 0.2346,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "sort_key": 10361.14,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 67.1,
        "value_side": "under"
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_yes": -0.2545,
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        "decision": "no_bet",
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      "away_team_id": 3589,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3589.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
      "country_name": "Turkey",
      "fixture_id": 1394728,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 7411,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7411.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Kocaelispor",
      "league_country": "Turkey",
      "league_id": 203,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
      "league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        "score": 6.0
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "total_xg": 2.02,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "game_type": {
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          "side_label": "Kocaelispor"
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        "btts": {
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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        "actionable": true,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2213,
        "draw": 0.3301,
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      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "implied_prob": 0.483,
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        "away": "Fatih Karag\u00fcmr\u00fck",
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        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:59:25.596406+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
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