Estadísticas / Fútbol / Turkey. Süper Lig / Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor

Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.64
2 1.17
xG Accuracy: 67%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Beşiktaş Trabzonspor ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "b6f14b1a51b12806f8c19506020b1a8df65ee71a5cfad5382ceb2d91ee2d0673",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.17,
      "away_win_prob": 0.2573,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2745,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.89,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.64,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.14,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.64,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4682,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Be\u015fikta\u015f or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.17,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0963,
        "edge_gap": 0.1927,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5641,
        "model_prob": 0.4677,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 25.7,
          "draw": 27.5,
          "home": 46.8
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.7
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.7,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Be\u015fikta\u015f Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.77,
        "market_odds": 1.7,
        "model_odds": 2.14,
        "overround": 4.3,
        "prob_edge": -12.1,
        "value_pct": -20.6,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 2,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 69.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 80.6,
        "no_prob": 42.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 57.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 57.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.17,
        "home_expected": 1.64,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f or Draw",
            "prob": 74.3
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f or Trabzonspor",
            "prob": 72.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Trabzonspor",
            "prob": 53.2
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 74.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 25.7,
        "draw_pct": 27.5,
        "home_pct": 46.8,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.81,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "over_prob": 53.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.3,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.81,
        "under_prob": 46.7
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 22.7,
        "implied_prob": 22.4,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 27.5,
        "odds": 4.46
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.64,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2538,
        "ev_under": 0.4757,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.4757,
        "over_prob": 53.3,
        "sort_key": 10578.13,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 46.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.287,
        "ev_yes": -0.1949,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.287,
        "no_prob": 42.9,
        "sort_key": 10258.3,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 57.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1252,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5641,
        "max_ev": 0.0076,
        "model_prob": 0.4677,
        "side_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
        "sort_key": 5206.08,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 814.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 998,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/998.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Trabzonspor",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
      "country_name": "Turkey",
      "fixture_id": 1394723,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 549,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/549.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Be\u015fikta\u015f",
      "league_country": "Turkey",
      "league_id": 203,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
      "league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1891,
            "best_odd": 4.34,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0069,
            "ev": -0.0113,
            "implied_prob": 0.2209,
            "model_prob": 0.2573,
            "p_final": 0.2278
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.182,
            "best_odd": 4.46,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0109,
            "ev": 0.0076,
            "implied_prob": 0.215,
            "model_prob": 0.275,
            "p_final": 0.2259
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5133,
            "best_odd": 1.7,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0495,
            "ev": -0.1252,
            "implied_prob": 0.5641,
            "model_prob": 0.4677,
            "p_final": 0.5146
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 3.0,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.41,
          "edge_no": 0.1048,
          "edge_yes": -0.1048,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.287,
          "ev_yes": -0.1949,
          "implied_no": 0.3242,
          "implied_yes": 0.6758,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.4,
          "best_under_odd": 3.16,
          "edge_over": -0.1592,
          "edge_under": 0.1592,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2538,
          "ev_under": 0.4757,
          "implied_over": 0.6922,
          "implied_under": 0.3078,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.81,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4757,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.571,
          "draw_prob": 0.275,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4677,
          "over_prob": 0.533,
          "total_xg": 2.81,
          "under_prob": 0.467,
          "xg_diff": 0.47
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0495,
          "ev": -0.1252,
          "implied_prob": 0.5641,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4677,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1048,
          "ev": 0.287,
          "implied_prob": 0.3242,
          "model_prob": 0.429,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1592,
          "ev": 0.4757,
          "implied_prob": 0.3078,
          "model_prob": 0.467,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1394723,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4757,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2573,
        "draw": 0.275,
        "home": 0.4677
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.287,
        "implied_prob": 0.3242,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.429,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.287,
          "implied_prob": 0.3242,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.429,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Trabzonspor",
        "home": "Be\u015fikta\u015f"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.211044,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4757,
        "implied_prob": 0.3078,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.467,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1394723,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:59:10.536628+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Süper Lig Süper LigClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Galatasaray 33 24 5 4 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 21 10 2 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 20 9 4 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 60
5 Göztepe 33 14 13 6 55
6 Başakşehir 33 15 9 9 54
7 Samsunspor 33 12 12 9 48
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 41
9 Konyaspor 33 10 10 13 40
10 Kocaelispor 33 9 10 14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 7 16 10 37
12 Gaziantep FK 33 9 10 14 37
13 Eyüpspor 33 8 8 17 32
14 Kasımpaşa 33 7 11 15 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 8 7 18 31
16 Antalyaspor 33 7 8 18 29
17 Kayserispor 33 5 12 16 27
18 Fatih Karagümrük 33 7 6 20 27
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Galatasaray 33 77 29 +48 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 74 34 +40 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 61 36 +25 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 59 40 +19 60
5 Başakşehir 33 56 34 +22 54
6 Rizespor 34 46 52 -6 41
7 Samsunspor 33 43 45 -2 48
8 Göztepe 33 42 29 +13 55
9 Konyaspor 33 42 48 -6 40
10 Gaziantep FK 33 42 56 -14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 40 39 +1 37
12 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 33 47 -14 31
13 Kasımpaşa 33 32 49 -17 32
14 Antalyaspor 33 32 55 -23 29
15 Eyüpspor 33 30 45 -15 32
16 Fatih Karagümrük 33 29 53 -24 27
17 Kocaelispor 33 26 37 -11 37
18 Kayserispor 33 25 61 -36 27
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- Pts
1 Galatasaray 33 68.0 32.0 +36.0 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 63.7 29.5 +34.2 73
3 Beşiktaş 34 60.8 33.9 +26.9 60
4 Göztepe 33 44.4 33.6 +10.8 55
5 Başakşehir 33 51.3 42.1 +9.2 54
6 Trabzonspor 33 49.8 42.2 +7.6 69
7 Samsunspor 33 41.0 36.7 +4.3 48
8 Rizespor 34 42.4 43.7 -1.3 41
9 Kocaelispor 33 29.8 31.9 -2.1 37
10 Konyaspor 33 42.8 46.0 -3.2 40
11 Gaziantep FK 33 43.7 48.6 -4.9 37
12 Alanyaspor 33 33.9 42.4 -8.5 37
13 Kayserispor 33 36.5 50.5 -14.0 27
14 Kasımpaşa 33 28.5 43.2 -14.7 32
15 Fatih Karagümrük 33 31.4 47.2 -15.8 27
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 33.3 50.8 -17.5 31
17 Eyüpspor 33 33.9 52.0 -18.1 32
18 Antalyaspor 33 26.5 54.9 -28.4 29