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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk ✔ Correct
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "2f3eb7b71706ce6016bebfc3809380a9fac0a248347516758219c73233765824",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 2.01,
"away_win_prob": 0.5441,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2402,
"fair_odds_away": 1.84,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.16,
"fair_odds_home": 4.64,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.22,
"home_win_prob": 0.2157,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Zorya Luhansk",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Zorya Luhansk",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Zorya Luhansk"
},
"away_xg": 2.01,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Zorya Luhansk",
"confidence": 54.4,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Zorya Luhansk",
"edge": 0.0943,
"edge_gap": 0.3033,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4495,
"model_prob": 0.5438,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 54.4,
"draw": 24.1,
"home": 21.6
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "away",
"selection_name": "Zorya Luhansk"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.09
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.09,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Zorya Luhansk Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 2.22,
"market_odds": 2.09,
"model_odds": 1.84,
"overround": 6.4,
"prob_edge": 6.5,
"value_pct": 13.6,
"value_rating": "value_bet"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 27,
"away_score_rate": 86.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 1,
"home_failed_to_score": 14,
"home_played": 26,
"home_score_rate": 70.5,
"no_prob": 37.7,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 62.3,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 62.3
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 2.01,
"home_expected": 1.22,
"scores": [
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.0
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-3",
"prob": 6.5
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Oleksandria or Draw",
"prob": 45.6
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Oleksandria or Zorya Luhansk",
"prob": 76.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Zorya Luhansk",
"prob": 78.4
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Zorya Luhansk",
"pick_prob": 78.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 54.4,
"draw_pct": 24.0,
"home_pct": 21.6,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Zorya Luhansk"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.23,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.7,
"over_prob": 62.6,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 62.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.23,
"under_prob": 37.4
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 13.7,
"implied_prob": 47.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Zorya Luhansk Win",
"model_prob": 54.4,
"odds": 2.09
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Zorya Luhansk",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Oleksandria",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.32,
"gap_pp": -4.75,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 21.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.73,
"gap_pp": -4.68,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 24.05
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.95,
"gap_pp": 9.43,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 54.38
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.34,
"gap_pp": 16.26,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 62.6
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.66,
"gap_pp": -16.26,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 37.4
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.57,
"early": 3.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.32,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.32,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.27,
"early": 3.27,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.73,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.73,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.09,
"early": 2.09,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.95,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.95,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.05,
"early": 2.05,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.34,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.34,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.77,
"early": 1.77,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.66,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.66,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 16.3,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.22,
"homepage_pick": {
"best_bookmaker": "Unibet",
"best_odds": 1.98,
"confidence": "moderate",
"display_label": "Away Zorya Luhansk",
"edge": 3.9,
"ev": 7.6,
"probability": 54.4
},
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2958,
"ev_under": -0.338,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2958,
"over_prob": 62.6,
"sort_key": 10416.22,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 37.4,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2799,
"ev_yes": 0.1525,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1525,
"no_prob": 37.7,
"sort_key": 10137.25,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 62.3
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0156,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4495,
"max_ev": 0.0156,
"model_prob": 0.5438,
"side_label": "Zorya Luhansk",
"sort_key": 5212.48,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 809.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-2",
"top_prob": 9.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 599,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/599.webp",
"away_team_name": "Zorya Luhansk",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ua.svg",
"country_name": "Ukraine",
"fixture_id": 1391614,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3619,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3619.webp",
"home_team_name": "Oleksandria",
"league_country": "Ukraine",
"league_id": 333,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/333.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3864,
"best_odd": 2.09,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0364,
"ev": 0.0156,
"implied_prob": 0.4495,
"model_prob": 0.5438,
"p_final": 0.486
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.279,
"best_odd": 3.27,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.013,
"ev": -0.1032,
"implied_prob": 0.2873,
"model_prob": 0.2405,
"p_final": 0.2743
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2786,
"best_odd": 3.57,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0132,
"ev": -0.1078,
"implied_prob": 0.2632,
"model_prob": 0.2157,
"p_final": 0.2499
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.91,
"best_yes_odd": 1.85,
"edge_no": -0.1115,
"edge_yes": 0.1115,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2799,
"ev_yes": 0.1525,
"implied_no": 0.4885,
"implied_yes": 0.5115,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.07,
"best_under_odd": 1.77,
"edge_over": 0.1628,
"edge_under": -0.1628,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2958,
"ev_under": -0.338,
"implied_over": 0.4632,
"implied_under": 0.5368,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.23,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2958,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.623,
"draw_prob": 0.2405,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5438,
"over_prob": 0.626,
"total_xg": 3.23,
"under_prob": 0.374,
"xg_diff": 0.79
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0364,
"ev": 0.0156,
"implied_prob": 0.4495,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.5438,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Zorya Luhansk"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1115,
"ev": 0.1525,
"implied_prob": 0.5115,
"model_prob": 0.623,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1628,
"ev": 0.2958,
"implied_prob": 0.4632,
"model_prob": 0.626,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1391614,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2958,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.5438,
"draw": 0.2405,
"home": 0.2157
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1525,
"implied_prob": 0.5115,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.623,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1525,
"implied_prob": 0.5115,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.623,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Zorya Luhansk",
"home": "Oleksandria"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.231463,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2958,
"implied_prob": 0.4632,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.626,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1391614,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:57:47.402143+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Premier League — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 69 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 |
| 3 | Polessya | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 55 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 54 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Kryvbas KR | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Zorya Luhansk | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Karpaty | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Veres Rivne | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 31 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
| 12 | Obolon'-Brovar | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 |
| 14 | Ruh Lviv | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 21 |
| 15 | Oleksandria | 28 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 13 |
| 16 | SK Poltava | 29 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 28 | 68 | 18 | +50 | 69 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 29 | 63 | 34 | +29 | 54 |
| 3 | Kryvbas KR | 28 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 47 |
| 4 | Polessya | 28 | 49 | 21 | +28 | 55 |
| 5 | Zorya Luhansk | 28 | 40 | 35 | +5 | 42 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 28 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 57 |
| 7 | Karpaty | 28 | 37 | 29 | +8 | 38 |
| 8 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 29 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 31 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 29 | 35 | 19 | +16 | 48 |
| 10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 28 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 46 |
| 11 | Kudrivka | 28 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 25 |
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 28 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 28 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 28 |
| 14 | SK Poltava | 29 | 23 | 74 | -51 | 12 |
| 15 | Oleksandria | 28 | 20 | 56 | -36 | 13 |
| 16 | Ruh Lviv | 28 | 19 | 46 | -27 | 21 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Kyiv | 29 | 30.7 | 10.1 | +20.6 | 54 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 28 | 29.8 | 9.8 | +20.0 | 69 |
| 3 | Polessya | 28 | 35.3 | 17.0 | +18.3 | 55 |
| 4 | LNZ Cherkasy | 28 | 27.3 | 12.2 | +15.1 | 57 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 29 | 22.0 | 12.7 | +9.3 | 48 |
| 6 | Karpaty | 28 | 24.4 | 20.0 | +4.4 | 38 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 28 | 22.6 | 22.2 | +0.4 | 46 |
| 8 | Zorya Luhansk | 28 | 21.1 | 21.2 | -0.1 | 42 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 28 | 12.6 | 16.5 | -3.9 | 31 |
| 10 | Ruh Lviv | 28 | 16.1 | 21.5 | -5.4 | 21 |
| 11 | Obolon'-Brovar | 28 | 17.2 | 23.2 | -6.0 | 28 |
| 12 | Kryvbas KR | 28 | 21.4 | 27.8 | -6.4 | 47 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 28 | 14.9 | 27.4 | -12.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 29 | 18.9 | 32.2 | -13.3 | 31 |
| 15 | Oleksandria | 28 | 10.5 | 25.0 | -14.5 | 13 |
| 16 | SK Poltava | 29 | 10.1 | 36.0 | -25.9 | 12 |