Estadísticas / Fútbol / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk

Widzew Łódź vs Lechia Gdansk Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 12:45
3 1.25
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Lechia Gdansk Widzew Łódź ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "e21d7a97bc60851cb4d4c01cb2b37a4bd67ba663d3d380e8dbe9f63aee7436a1",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.28,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3565,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3013,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.81,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.32,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.92,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3423,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.28,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Lechia Gdansk",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0749,
        "edge_gap": 0.0134,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2811,
        "model_prob": 0.356,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 35.6,
          "draw": 30.1,
          "home": 34.3
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 3.42
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 3.42,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Lechia Gdansk Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.56,
        "market_odds": 3.42,
        "model_odds": 2.81,
        "overround": 4.0,
        "prob_edge": 6.3,
        "value_pct": 21.7,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 31,
        "away_score_rate": 72.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 31,
        "home_score_rate": 71.3,
        "no_prob": 46.8,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 53.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 53.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.28,
        "home_expected": 1.25,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a or Draw",
            "prob": 64.3
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a or Lechia Gdansk",
            "prob": 69.8
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Lechia Gdansk",
            "prob": 65.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a or Lechia Gdansk",
        "pick_prob": 69.8
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 35.6,
        "draw_pct": 30.1,
        "home_pct": 34.2,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Lechia Gdansk"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.53,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.9,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 46.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.53,
        "under_prob": 53.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 21.8,
        "implied_prob": 29.2,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Lechia Gdansk Win",
        "model_prob": 35.6,
        "odds": 3.42
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.25,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1323,
        "ev_under": 0.0881,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0881,
        "over_prob": 46.4,
        "sort_key": 10229.29,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 53.6,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0296,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2811,
        "max_ev": 0.0296,
        "model_prob": 0.356,
        "side_label": "Lechia Gdansk",
        "sort_key": 5223.68,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0062,
        "ev_yes": -0.0956,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0062,
        "no_prob": 46.8,
        "sort_key": 5204.96,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 53.2
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 343,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/343.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Lechia Gdansk",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1380670,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6962,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6962.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 106,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/106.webp",
      "league_name": "Ekstraklasa",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2663,
            "best_odd": 3.42,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.02,
            "ev": 0.0296,
            "implied_prob": 0.2811,
            "model_prob": 0.356,
            "p_final": 0.3011
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2913,
            "best_odd": 3.41,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0057,
            "ev": -0.0194,
            "implied_prob": 0.2819,
            "model_prob": 0.3013,
            "p_final": 0.2876
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3863,
            "best_odd": 2.2,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0365,
            "ev": -0.1188,
            "implied_prob": 0.437,
            "model_prob": 0.3426,
            "p_final": 0.4005
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.15,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.7,
          "edge_no": 0.0233,
          "edge_yes": -0.0233,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0062,
          "ev_yes": -0.0956,
          "implied_no": 0.4447,
          "implied_yes": 0.5553,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.87,
          "best_under_odd": 2.03,
          "edge_over": -0.0514,
          "edge_under": 0.0514,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1323,
          "ev_under": 0.0881,
          "implied_over": 0.5154,
          "implied_under": 0.4846,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.53,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0881,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.532,
          "draw_prob": 0.3013,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.356,
          "over_prob": 0.464,
          "total_xg": 2.53,
          "under_prob": 0.536,
          "xg_diff": 0.03
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.02,
          "ev": 0.0296,
          "implied_prob": 0.2811,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.356,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Lechia Gdansk"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0233,
          "ev": 0.0062,
          "implied_prob": 0.4447,
          "model_prob": 0.468,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0514,
          "ev": 0.0881,
          "implied_prob": 0.4846,
          "model_prob": 0.536,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1380670,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0881,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.356,
        "draw": 0.3013,
        "home": 0.3426
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Lechia Gdansk",
        "home": "Widzew \u0141\u00f3d\u017a"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.029089,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0881,
        "implied_prob": 0.4846,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.536,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1380670,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T16:00:57.342200+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Ekstraklasa EkstraklasaClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Lech Poznan 33 16 11 6 59
2 Gornik Zabrze 33 15 8 10 53
3 Jagiellonia 32 14 10 8 52
4 Raków Częstochowa 32 14 7 11 49
5 Zaglebie Lubin 33 13 9 11 48
6 GKS Katowice 32 14 6 12 48
7 Wisla Plock 33 12 9 12 45
8 Radomiak Radom 33 11 11 11 44
9 Pogon Szczecin 33 13 5 15 44
10 Legia Warszawa 32 10 13 9 43
11 Motor Lublin 33 10 13 10 43
12 Korona Kielce 33 11 9 13 42
13 Piast Gliwice 32 11 8 13 41
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 9 14 10 41
15 Widzew Łódź 33 11 6 16 39
16 Lechia Gdansk 32 12 7 13 38
17 Arka Gdynia 32 9 9 14 36
18 Nieciecza 32 7 7 18 28
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Lech Poznan 33 60 43 +17 59
2 Lechia Gdansk 32 59 60 -1 38
3 Jagiellonia 32 53 39 +14 52
4 Radomiak Radom 33 50 47 +3 44
5 GKS Katowice 32 48 42 +6 48
6 Pogon Szczecin 33 46 48 -2 44
7 Motor Lublin 33 46 49 -3 43
8 Zaglebie Lubin 33 45 37 +8 48
9 Raków Częstochowa 32 45 39 +6 49
10 Gornik Zabrze 33 44 36 +8 53
11 Piast Gliwice 32 40 41 -1 41
12 Korona Kielce 33 39 39 0 42
13 Widzew Łódź 33 39 40 -1 39
14 Cracovia Krakow 33 38 41 -3 41
15 Nieciecza 32 37 61 -24 28
16 Legia Warszawa 32 36 36 0 43
17 Wisla Plock 33 32 36 -4 45
18 Arka Gdynia 32 32 55 -23 36
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- Pts
1 Lech Poznan 33 58.4 34.1 +24.3 59
2 Raków Częstochowa 32 51.3 39.8 +11.5 49
3 Legia Warszawa 32 42.8 33.9 +8.9 43
4 Lechia Gdansk 32 47.2 42.3 +4.9 38
5 Pogon Szczecin 33 50.5 47.6 +2.9 44
6 Piast Gliwice 32 42.1 39.4 +2.7 41
7 Cracovia Krakow 33 36.6 34.5 +2.1 41
8 Gornik Zabrze 33 40.5 38.7 +1.8 53
9 Widzew Łódź 33 37.6 36.4 +1.2 39
10 Korona Kielce 33 48.8 49.2 -0.4 42
11 Radomiak Radom 33 41.5 42.4 -0.9 44
12 Wisla Plock 33 40.9 43.2 -2.3 45
13 GKS Katowice 32 40.0 43.4 -3.4 48
14 Jagiellonia 32 40.3 47.1 -6.8 52
15 Zaglebie Lubin 33 32.9 40.9 -8.0 48
16 Nieciecza 32 41.1 53.0 -11.9 28
17 Motor Lublin 33 37.8 50.7 -12.9 43
18 Arka Gdynia 32 34.1 47.9 -13.8 36