|
Jordan vs Algeria
World Cup · mar 03:00
|
Jordan |
5.75 |
6.25
inicio en 14d
|
↑ +8.7%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
6.68 → 4.90 → 6.25
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
11/12
|
Steam Score:
63
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +19/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 10% |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Steam multi-casa en Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — acortamiento alineado, no un blip de una sola casa.
|
|
New Zealand vs Egypt
World Cup · lun 01:00
|
New Zealand |
5.75 |
4.75
inicio en 13d
|
↓ -17.4%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
5.75 → 4.29 → 4.75
|
⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
|
Bet365 |
5/12
|
Steam Score:
62
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +38/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +12/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Mayor movimiento del día |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Bet365 lideró el repricing en New Zealand (17.4%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
|
|
Jordan vs Argentina
World Cup · dom 02:00
|
Jordan |
10.0 |
11.0
inicio en 19d
|
↑ +10.0%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
15.50 → 10.00 → 11.00
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Pinnacle |
7/11
|
Steam Score:
57
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Meaningful odds adjustment
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +22/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +19/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 10% |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Steam multi-casa en Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — acortamiento alineado, no un blip de una sola casa.
|
|
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
World Cup · jue 19:00
|
Bosnia & Herzegovina |
5.5 |
5.0
inicio en 9d
|
↓ -9.1%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
6.10 → 5.00 → 5.00
|
📈 Steam
|
Bet365 |
7/12
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Meaningful odds adjustment
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +20/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +18/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 10% |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Steam multi-casa en Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — acortamiento alineado, no un blip de una sola casa.
|
|
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
World Cup · jue 20:00
|
Curaçao |
12.0 |
10.0
inicio en 16d
|
↓ -16.7%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 67h 59m
17.00 → 7.40 → 10.00
|
⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
|
Bet365 |
3/12
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong odds adjustment magnitude
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +37/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +8/30
Reacción de operadores: +6/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 3% |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Bet365 lideró el repricing en Curaçao (16.7%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
|
|
New Zealand vs Belgium
World Cup · sáb 03:00
|
New Zealand |
7.5 |
8.0
inicio en 18d
|
↑ +6.7%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 67h 59m
11.00 → 7.50 → 8.00
|
⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
8/12
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +15/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +20/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Betfair lideró el repricing en New Zealand (6.7%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
|
|
Croatia vs Ghana
World Cup · sáb 21:00
|
Ghana |
4.75 |
5.0
inicio en 19d
|
↑ +5.3%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
5.50 → 4.50 → 5.00
|
⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
9/12
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +12/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +22/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
SBO lideró el repricing en Ghana (5.3%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
|
|
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
World Cup · sáb 00:00
|
Cape Verde Islands |
2.4 |
2.5
inicio en 18d
|
↑ +4.2%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
2.76 → 2.40 → 2.50
|
⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
9/12
|
Steam Score:
43
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +9/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +22/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
Betfair lideró el repricing en Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
|
|
Ecuador vs Curaçao
World Cup · dom 00:00
|
Empate |
6.0 |
6.25
inicio en 12d
|
↑ +4.2%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
7.18 → 4.73 → 6.25
|
⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
7/12
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +9/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +18/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Reajuste agresivo
|
Waiting for Close
|
SBO lideró el repricing en Empate (4.2%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
|
|
Czech Republic vs South Africa
World Cup · jue 16:00
|
South Africa |
4.1 |
4.2
inicio en 9d
|
↑ +2.4%
— Línea estable
4.30 → 3.68 → 4.20
|
📉 Debilitándose
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
8/12
|
Steam Score:
36
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +5/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +20/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Convicción de señal: +5/5
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Descubrimiento
|
Waiting for Close
|
El mercado deja de lado a South Africa (2.4%) — la línea se alarga respecto a la apertura (8/12).
|
|
Canada vs Qatar
World Cup · jue 22:00
|
Empate |
4.75 |
5.0
inicio en 10d
|
↑ +5.3%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
6/12
|
Steam Score:
33
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +12/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +15/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Empate (oscilación 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — neto 5.3% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
|
|
Austria vs Jordan
World Cup · mié 04:00
|
Jordan |
8.0 |
8.5
inicio en 8d
|
↑ +6.2%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
5/13
|
Steam Score:
31
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +14/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +12/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Jordan (oscilación 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — neto 6.2% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
|
|
Sweden vs Tunisia
World Cup · lun 02:00
|
Tunisia |
4.1 |
4.33
inicio en 6d
|
↑ +5.6%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
5/13
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +12/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +12/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Tunisia (oscilación 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — neto 5.6% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
|
|
Scotland vs Brazil
World Cup · mié 22:00
|
Scotland |
6.25 |
6.5
inicio en 16d
|
↑ +4.0%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 |
6/12
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +9/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +15/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Scotland (oscilación 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — neto 4.0% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
|
|
Norway vs Senegal
World Cup · mar 00:00
|
Norway |
2.1 |
2.1
inicio en 14d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.10
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
12/12
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +30/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
Switzerland vs Canada
World Cup · mié 19:00
|
Switzerland |
2.05 |
2.05
inicio en 15d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.05
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
12/12
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +30/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
Japan vs Sweden
World Cup · jue 23:00
|
Japan |
2.05 |
2.05
inicio en 17d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
2.12 → 2.00 → 2.05
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: SBO |
12/12
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +30/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
World Cup · lun 16:00
|
Empate |
10.0 |
9.5
inicio en 6d
|
↓ -5.0%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 |
5/13
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +11/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +12/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Empate (oscilación 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — neto 5.0% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
|
|
Germany vs Ivory Coast
World Cup · sáb 20:00
|
Ivory Coast |
5.75 |
5.5
inicio en 11d
|
↓ -4.3%
🐢 Desplazamiento lento durante 71h 59m
6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Pinnacle |
5/12
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Early movement from respected sharp books
- Moderate cross-book follow-through
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitud del movimiento: +10/45
Sincronización entre operadores: +12/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Liderazgo de sharp books: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
Movimiento del top 25% |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Precios volátiles bidireccionales en Ivory Coast (oscilación 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — neto 4.3% pero alta volatilidad intradía.
|
|
Belgium vs Egypt
World Cup · lun 19:00
|
Belgium |
1.65 |
1.65
inicio en 6d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
1.72 → 1.60 → 1.65
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Pinnacle |
12/13
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
Portugal vs Congo DR
World Cup · mié 17:00
|
Portugal |
1.25 |
1.25
inicio en 8d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
1.31 → 1.23 → 1.25
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
12/13
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
USA vs Australia
World Cup · vie 19:00
|
USA |
1.7 |
1.7
inicio en 10d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
1.80 → 1.68 → 1.70
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
11/12
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
Argentina vs Austria
World Cup · lun 17:00
|
Argentina |
1.62 |
1.62
inicio en 13d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
1.68 → 1.58 → 1.62
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
11/12
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
France vs Iraq
World Cup · lun 21:00
|
France |
1.11 |
1.11
inicio en 14d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
1.14 → 1.07 → 1.11
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
11/12
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
|
|
Paraguay vs Australia
World Cup · vie 02:00
|
Paraguay |
2.15 |
2.15
inicio en 17d
|
+0.0%
— Línea estable
2.23 → 2.11 → 2.15
|
⚠️ Mercado volátil
|
Bet365 Sharp-led: Betfair |
11/12
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
- Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
- Strong cross-book alignment
- Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronización entre operadores: +28/30
Reacción de operadores: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidad: -10
|
— |
Volátil
|
Waiting for Close
|
Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.
|