Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Atletico Torque
Oct 21, 2026 - 20:00
1.17 1.30
Atletico-MG
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Atletico Torque opened at 0 against Atletico-MG in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Atletico Torque 0
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Atletico-MG than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Atletico-MG 0
@ 1.95
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.84
Price Advantage
+6.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.94 / 1.79 0 1.94 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.00 / 1.84 0 2.00 / 1.84 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.95 0 1.90 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet 0 2.04 / 1.88 0 2.04 / 1.88 — 0
Betano +0.50 1.60 / 1.50 +0.50 1.60 / 1.50 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
xG 1.17 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.00
Atletico Torque @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.19
Atletico Torque @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.00 vs 2.19
Market price is 8.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 12.00 11.00
-2.00 11.00 9.80
-1.75 7.49 7.95
-1.50 5.55 4.95
-1.25 5.10 4.50
-1.00 4.65 4.00
-0.75 3.22 2.88
-0.25 2.44 2.07
0 2.04 1.88
+0.25 1.63 1.64
+0.75 1.32 1.26
+1.00 1.17 1.12
+1.25 1.13 1.10
+1.50 1.11 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03
+2.00 1.03 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.90 1.95

Betano Main +0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.70 2.42
+0.50 1.60 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 6.55
-1.50 5.55 4.95
-1.25 5.10 4.50
-1.00 4.65 4.00
-0.75 3.22 2.88
-0.25 2.27 2.07
0 1.94 1.79
+0.25 1.63 1.52
+0.75 1.32 1.26
+1.00 1.17 1.12
+1.25 1.13 1.10
+1.50 1.11 1.08
+1.75 1.05 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.91 4.32
-0.75 3.47 3.15
-0.50 2.80 2.59
-0.25 2.40 2.21
0 2.00 1.84
+0.25 1.67 1.57
+0.50 1.50 1.44
+0.75 1.35 1.30
+1.00 1.22 1.18
Primary Bets
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