Turku PS vs Ilves Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Turku PS
Final Score
0 – 3
(HT 0-1)
Ilves
Kick-off 12:00 Stadium Veritas Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Turku PS opened at 0 against Ilves in the Veikkausliiga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.92 / 2.02
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Turku PS 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward Ilves than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

Price advantage is below the lean threshold.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:14
Opening
0
08:12
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.88 / 1.86 0 1.88 / 1.85 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.94 / 1.91 0 1.96 / 1.94 — 0
Bet365 0 2.10 / 1.70 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.88 / 1.86 0 1.91 / 1.82 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.20 / 2.18 -0.25 2.22 / 2.18 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.85 / 1.82 0 1.86 / 1.81 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 9.30
-2.00 9.00 8.80
-1.75 6.39 5.90
-1.50 4.90 4.60
-1.25 4.50 4.20
-1.00 4.10 3.76
-0.75 2.98 2.79
-0.25 2.22 2.07
0 1.91 1.82
+0.25 1.63 1.61
+0.75 1.34 1.30
+1.00 1.19 1.16
+1.25 1.15 1.13
+1.50 1.13 1.11
+1.75 1.07 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 6.40
-1.50 5.00 4.80
-1.25 4.40 4.40
-1.00 4.00 3.90
-0.75 3.00 3.00
-0.50 2.50 2.42
-0.25 2.20 2.15
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.68 1.65
+0.50 1.52 1.50
+0.75 1.38 1.38
+1.00 1.24 1.23
+1.25 1.20 1.20
+1.50 1.18 1.17
+1.75 1.12 1.11

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.47 2.41
-0.25 2.17 2.12
0 1.86 1.81
+0.25 1.62 1.59
+0.50 1.48 1.46

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.52 2.47
-0.25 2.22 2.18
+0.25 1.67 1.65
+0.50 1.53 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.30 9.00
-1.75 6.20 6.05
-1.50 4.80 4.65
-1.25 4.40 4.25
-1.00 3.95 3.84
-0.75 2.88 2.84
-0.25 2.13 2.10
0 1.88 1.85
+0.25 1.61 1.59
+0.75 1.33 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.17
+1.25 1.15 1.14
+1.50 1.12 1.12
+1.75 1.06 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.29 4.20
-0.75 3.16 3.12
-0.50 2.61 2.59
-0.25 2.29 2.27
0 1.96 1.94
+0.25 1.70 1.69
+0.50 1.55 1.54
+0.75 1.40 1.39
+1.00 1.25 1.25
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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