Bra vs Biellese Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Bra
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Biellese
Kick-off 13:00 Stadium Stadio Attilio Bravi

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Bra opened at 0 against Biellese in the Serie D - Girone A. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Bra +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.22 / 1.38
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Bra 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Biellese than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Biellese 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.82
Price Advantage
+9.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:34
Opening
0
12:00
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 1.73 / 1.94 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.76 / 2.00 0 1.76 / 2.00 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 1.73 / 1.94 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.90 10.00
-1.50 4.70 5.50
-1.00 3.80 4.55
-0.75 2.78 3.20
-0.25 2.02 2.26
0 1.73 1.94
+0.25 1.51 1.67
+0.75 1.26 1.34
+1.00 1.13 1.19
+1.50 1.08 1.12

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 6.40
-1.50 4.50 5.00
-1.25 4.15 4.50
-1.00 3.80 4.15
-0.75 3.00 3.10
-0.50 2.42 2.60
-0.25 2.15 2.30
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.60 1.68
+0.50 1.48 1.52
+0.75 1.35 1.38
+1.00 1.22 1.25
+1.25 1.19 1.22
+1.50 1.17 1.19
+1.75 1.12 1.13

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.70 5.50
-1.00 3.80 4.55
-0.75 2.78 3.20
-0.25 2.00 2.26
0 1.73 1.94
+0.25 1.51 1.65
+0.75 1.26 1.34
+1.00 1.13 1.19
+1.50 1.08 1.12

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.73 3.15
-0.50 2.28 2.58
-0.25 2.03 2.30
0 1.76 2.00
+0.25 1.56 1.71
+0.50 1.43 1.54
+0.75 1.30 1.39
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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