Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Pergolettese
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Folgore Caratese
Kick-off 16:30 Stadium Giuseppe Voltini

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Pergolettese opened at 0 against Folgore Caratese in the Serie C - Girone A. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.28 / 1.32
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Pergolettese 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Folgore Caratese than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
21:10
Opening
0
12:56
Last Pre-Match
0
16:29
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.82 / 2.74 0 1.85 / 1.81 0 +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.92 0 1.94 / 1.88 0 0
Bet365 0 1.70 / 2.10 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 0
1xBet -0.25 1.84 / 2.74 0 1.85 / 1.81 0 +0.25
Betano +0.25 1.60 / 1.60 +0.25 1.62 / 1.60 +0.25 0
BetVictor 0 1.83 / 1.84 0 1.84 / 1.83 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.90 9.80
-2.00 8.80 9.60
-1.75 8.25 7.90
-1.50 6.05 5.80
-1.25 5.49 5.29
-1.00 4.95 4.75
-0.75 3.28 3.20
-0.25 2.26 2.15
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.56 1.54
+0.75 1.26 1.25
+1.00 1.12 1.11
+1.25 1.09 1.08
+1.50 1.07 1.06
+1.75 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 7.00
-1.50 5.50 5.75
-1.25 5.00 5.25
-1.00 4.40 4.65
-0.75 3.10 3.30
-0.50 2.50 2.68
-0.25 2.20 2.30
0 1.88 1.92
+0.25 1.60 1.65
+0.50 1.45 1.50
+0.75 1.32 1.35
+1.00 1.18 1.20
+1.25 1.16 1.17
+1.50 1.14 1.15
+1.75 1.10 1.11

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.85 2.91
-0.50 2.59 2.57
-0.25 2.22 2.21
0 1.84 1.83
+0.25 1.57 1.56
+0.50 1.43 1.42
+0.75 1.34 1.35

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.82 2.85
-0.50 2.57 2.55
-0.25 2.25 2.20
+0.25 1.62 1.60
+0.50 1.47 1.47
+0.75 1.39 1.40

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.30 7.90
-1.50 6.05 5.80
-1.25 5.50 5.30
-1.00 4.95 4.75
-0.75 3.28 3.20
-0.25 2.24 2.17
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.55 1.52
+0.75 1.26 1.25
+1.00 1.12 1.11
+1.25 1.09 1.08
+1.50 1.07 1.06
+1.75 1.02 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.38 3.25
-0.50 2.71 2.62
-0.25 2.34 2.26
0 1.94 1.88
+0.25 1.63 1.59
+0.50 1.46 1.43
+0.75 1.32 1.30
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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