CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Gloria Bistriţa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Final Score
2 – 1
(HT 1-0)
Gloria Bistriţa
Kick-off 08:00 Stadium Stadionul Steaua

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

CSA Steaua Bucureşti opened at 0 against Gloria Bistriţa in the Liga II. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.30 / 1.30
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Gloria Bistriţa 0
@ 2.50
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+25.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:07
Opening
0
07:35
Last Pre-Match
0
07:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.59 / 3.14 -0.25 1.65 / 2.83 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.71 / 2.04 0 1.77 / 2.03 0 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 0
1xBet -0.25 1.60 / 3.14 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 +0.25
Betano -0.25 2.05 / 2.35 -0.50 1.82 / 2.62 -0.50 -0.25
BetVictor 0 1.66 / 2.05 0 1.72 / 1.97 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 10.00
-1.50 4.55 5.55
-1.25 4.14 4.68
-1.00 3.68 4.65
-0.75 2.70 3.20
-0.25 1.98 2.28
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.50 1.70
+0.75 1.26 1.36
+1.00 1.12 1.20
+1.25 1.12 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.13

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.78 2.02

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.02 2.31
0 1.72 1.97
+0.25 1.52 1.68

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.82 2.62
-0.25 1.60 2.50
+0.25 1.50 2.25
+0.50 1.45 1.93

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.50 7.20
-1.00 2.70 6.25
-0.75 2.15 4.10
-0.25 1.65 2.83
0 1.44 2.50
+0.25 1.33 2.00
+0.75 1.16 1.56
+1.00 1.06 1.36
+1.50 1.03 1.22

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.73 3.20
-0.50 2.30 2.62
-0.25 2.04 2.34
0 1.77 2.03
+0.25 1.57 1.74
+0.50 1.44 1.56
+0.75 1.31 1.41
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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