Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur FA Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Negeri Sembilan
Aug 22, 2026 - 09:00 PST
1.29 1.31
Kuala Lumpur FA
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
0
PRE1 consensus
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 6 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Negeri Sembilan opened at 0 against Kuala Lumpur FA in the Super League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The closing line is 0. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Negeri Sembilan from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Negeri Sembilan -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Kuala Lumpur FA than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Kuala Lumpur FA +0.25
@ 2.86
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+66.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.88 / 1.79 -0.25 1.69 / 2.74 0 -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.87 / 1.92 -0.25 1.77 / 2.86 0 -0.25
Bet365 0 2.00 / 1.80 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 0
1xBet 0 1.88 / 1.79 -0.25 1.73 / 2.70 0 -0.25
Superbet -0.50 2.40 / 2.30 -0.50 2.10 / 2.80 -0.50 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.96 / 1.84 -0.50 1.78 / 2.25 -0.25 -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.29 / 1.31 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Closing consensus
Market Odds
1.87
Negeri Sembilan @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.03
Negeri Sembilan @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.87 vs 2.03
Market price is 7.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.30 10.00
-2.00 6.55 9.80
-1.75 4.60 8.50
-1.50 3.58 6.45
-1.25 3.22 6.06
-1.00 2.88 5.65
-0.75 2.29 3.86
-0.25 1.73 2.70
0 1.50 2.36
+0.25 1.37 1.92
+0.75 1.19 1.53
+1.00 1.08 1.32
+1.25 1.06 1.27
+1.50 1.05 1.21

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.88 1.92

BetVictor Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.78 2.25
-0.25 1.59 2.36
0 1.39 2.09
+0.25 1.29 1.75
+0.50 1.32 1.57

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.10 9.20
-2.00 6.30 9.20
-1.75 4.45 8.70
-1.50 3.50 6.65
-1.25 3.14 6.25
-1.00 2.78 5.80
-0.75 2.21 3.95
-0.25 1.69 2.74
0 1.48 2.41
+0.25 1.35 1.95
+0.75 1.17 1.53
+1.00 1.07 1.34
+1.25 1.06 1.27
+1.50 1.05 1.22

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.31 3.16
-0.50 2.03 3.04
-0.25 1.77 2.86
0 1.51 2.48
+0.25 1.40 2.04
+0.50 1.34 1.80
+0.75 1.32 1.60

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.80 4.35
-0.50 2.10 2.80
+0.50 1.33 1.58
+1.50 1.14 1.18
Primary Bets
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