Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Dulwich Hamlet
Sep 29, 2026 - 18:45
1.19 1.41
Aveley
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Dulwich Hamlet opened at 0 against Aveley in the Non League Premier - Isthmian. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.20
Dulwich Hamlet +0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Aveley than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Aveley 0
@ 1.92
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.76
Price Advantage
+9.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.81 / 2.49 0 1.81 / 1.85 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.87 / 1.88 0 1.87 / 1.88 — 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 1.88 / 1.92 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.82 / 2.50 0 1.81 / 1.85 — +0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.20
xG 1.19 / 1.41 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.87
Dulwich Hamlet @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.32
Dulwich Hamlet @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.87 vs 2.32
Market price is 19.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.80 8.80
-2.00 9.20 7.80
-1.75 6.05 6.30
-1.50 4.65 4.80
-1.25 4.21 4.40
-1.00 3.78 3.95
-0.75 2.82 2.89
-0.25 2.07 2.14
0 1.81 1.85
+0.25 1.60 1.62
+0.75 1.33 1.34
+1.00 1.17 1.19
+1.25 1.14 1.16
+1.50 1.11 1.12
+1.75 1.06 1.06
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.88 1.92

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.05 6.30
-1.50 4.65 4.80
-1.25 4.20 4.40
-1.00 3.78 3.95
-0.75 2.81 2.88
-0.25 2.06 2.12
0 1.81 1.85
+0.25 1.58 1.62
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.17 1.19
+1.25 1.14 1.15
+1.50 1.11 1.12
+1.75 1.06 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.80 2.80
-0.50 2.35 2.37
-0.25 2.12 2.14
0 1.87 1.88
+0.25 1.65 1.66
+0.50 1.51 1.52
+0.75 1.38 1.38
Primary Bets
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