Gimnastic vs Huesca Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Gimnastic
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Huesca
Kick-off 18:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Gimnastic opened at 0 against Huesca in the Friendlies Clubs. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.28 / 1.32
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Gimnastic 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Huesca than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Huesca 0
@ 2.03
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+4.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
-0.25
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:03
Opening
0
16:05
Last Pre-Match
0
17:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.85 / 1.80 0 1.95 / 1.70 0 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.92 / 1.76 0 1.70 / 2.00 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.94 / 1.78 -0.25 2.01 / 2.37 -0.25 -0.25
Bet365 0 2.00 / 1.80 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 0
1xBet 0 1.94 / 1.78 0 1.74 / 2.00 0 0
Superbet -0.50 2.45 / 2.30 -0.50 2.45 / 2.30 -0.50 0
BetVictor 0 1.88 / 1.73 0 1.72 / 1.89 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.95 1.70

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.00 9.80
-1.50 5.00 6.05
-1.25 4.54 4.94
-1.00 4.00 5.00
-0.75 2.88 3.34
-0.25 2.08 2.33
0 1.74 2.00
+0.25 1.48 1.68
+0.75 1.24 1.32
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.11 1.13
+1.50 1.06 1.10

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.82 1.98

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.57
-0.25 2.04 2.23
0 1.72 1.89
+0.25 1.51 1.61
+0.50 1.39 1.46

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.80 6.05
-1.25 4.33 4.95
-1.00 3.86 5.05
-0.75 2.78 3.42
-0.25 1.99 2.35
0 1.70 2.00
+0.25 1.47 1.66
+0.75 1.23 1.34
+1.00 1.10 1.18
+1.25 1.11 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.12

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.74 3.04
-0.50 2.30 2.71
-0.25 2.01 2.37
0 1.68 2.03
+0.25 1.49 1.72
+0.50 1.38 1.53
+0.75 1.30 1.37

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.45 2.30
+0.50 1.48 1.42
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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