Consensus
?Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains.
Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
1 / 1 books · 100% agreement
· Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main
Asian Handicap Market Summary
SpVgg Unterhaching opened at -0.25 against Buchbach in the Regionalliga - Bayern. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 1 of 1 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.
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Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.36
SpVgg Unterhaching -0.36
Model pricing view — not a bet.
Model fair line is toward the home team.
Market
Tradable Consensus
SpVgg Unterhaching -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25
· 1 / 1 books
· Strong
Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.
Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward SpVgg Unterhaching than the current market.
Decision
WAIT
The current market does not provide sufficient validation for a tradable signal.
Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
1 / 1 valid books · 100% agreement · Insufficient
Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP-0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book
Opening
Open H / A
Current
Cur H / A
Closing
Line Move
Pinnacle
SHARP
-0.25
1.77 / 2.65
-0.25
1.77 / 2.65
-0.25
0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.36
xG 1.50 / 1.10 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Closing consensus
Market Odds
1.77
SpVgg Unterhaching @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.88
SpVgg Unterhaching @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.77 vs 1.88
Market price is 5.9% below model fair price.
Not betting EV
The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.
Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.
Pinnacle
Main -0.25
AH
Home
Away
-0.25
1.77
2.65
0
1.54
2.34
+0.25
1.43
1.98
Match Prediction
Explore the AI prediction for this match, including Final Verdict and market decisions.
