Quevilly vs Amiens Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Quevilly
Sep 26, 2026 - 18:45
1.31 1.29
Amiens
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Quevilly opened at -0.25 against Amiens in the Ligue 3. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Quevilly -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Amiens than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Quevilly -0.25
@ 3.11
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.33
Price Advantage
+33.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.46 / 1.90 -0.25 3.08 / 1.64 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.59 / 2.01 0 2.16 / 1.72 — +0.25
Bet365 -0.25 2.60 / 2.00 -0.25 2.85 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.49 / 1.90 -0.25 3.11 / 1.64 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.53 / 1.94 -0.25 2.95 / 1.65 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
xG 1.31 / 1.29 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
3.08
Quevilly @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.33
Quevilly @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
3.08 vs 2.33
Market price is 32.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.65 4.84
-1.50 9.10 3.72
-1.25 8.55 3.28
-1.00 7.90 2.83
-0.75 4.80 2.19
-0.25 3.11 1.64
0 2.67 1.39
+0.25 2.02 1.29
+0.75 1.54 1.12
+1.00 1.33 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 3.80
-1.25 6.40 3.45
-1.00 5.90 3.10
-0.75 4.10 2.42
-0.50 3.30 2.10
-0.25 2.85 1.82
0 2.38 1.55
+0.25 1.98 1.40
+0.50 1.70 1.32
+0.75 1.52 1.23
+1.00 1.35 1.13
+1.25 1.30 1.12
+1.50 1.25 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.95 1.65
0 2.70 1.39
+0.25 2.07 1.33

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 9.10 4.85
-1.50 9.10 3.72
-1.25 8.60 3.28
-1.00 7.90 2.83
-0.75 4.80 2.19
-0.25 3.08 1.64
0 2.67 1.39
+0.25 2.02 1.28
+0.75 1.54 1.12
+1.00 1.33 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.77 2.92
-0.50 2.96 2.40
-0.25 2.57 2.07
0 2.16 1.72
+0.25 1.80 1.52
+0.50 1.60 1.40
+0.75 1.42 1.28
Primary Bets
More