SD Logroñés vs Olot Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

SD Logroñés
Sep 27, 2026 - 15:00
1.22 1.38
Olot
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SD Logroñés opened at -0.25 against Olot in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
SD Logroñés +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
SD Logroñés -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.39
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.39 AH points more toward Olot than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Olot +0.25
@ 2.60
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.39
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.62
Price Advantage
+60.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.77 / 2.83 -0.25 1.94 / 2.49 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.05 / 2.60 -0.25 2.05 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.79 / 2.83 -0.25 1.96 / 2.49 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
xG 1.22 / 1.38 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.05
SD Logroñés @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.62
SD Logroñés @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.05 vs 2.62
Market price is 21.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.10 7.20
-1.25 4.60 6.04
-1.00 4.05 6.05
-0.75 2.78 3.80
-0.25 1.96 2.49
0 1.62 2.10
+0.25 1.42 1.72
+0.75 1.19 1.34
+1.00 1.06 1.16
+1.25 1.06 1.13
+1.50 1.03 1.10

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.10 7.20
-1.00 4.05 6.05
-0.75 2.78 3.80
-0.25 1.94 2.49
0 1.62 2.10
+0.25 1.42 1.70
+0.75 1.19 1.34
+1.00 1.06 1.16
+1.50 1.03 1.10

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.39 3.04
-0.25 2.05 2.60
0 1.66 2.16
+0.25 1.45 1.76
+0.50 1.34 1.55
Primary Bets
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