Eldense vs Eibar Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eldense
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:30
1.03 1.21
Eibar
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eldense opened at 0 against Eibar in the Segunda División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Eldense +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Eldense 0
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Eibar than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Eibar 0
@ 1.83
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.78
Price Advantage
+2.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.99 / 1.75 0 1.98 / 1.76 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.05 / 1.82 0 2.03 / 1.83 — 0
Bet365 0 2.08 / 1.72 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet 0 1.92 / 1.92 0 2.02 / 1.83 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.78 / 1.55 +0.25 1.72 / 1.57 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.47 / 1.97 0 1.94 / 1.74 — +0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.03 / 1.21 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.03
Eldense @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.29
Eldense @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.03 vs 2.29
Market price is 11.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.29 6.27
-1.50 5.55 4.85
-1.25 5.14 4.40
-1.00 4.70 3.98
-0.75 3.28 2.88
-0.25 2.42 2.07
0 2.02 1.83
+0.25 1.63 1.59
+0.75 1.32 1.25
+1.00 1.17 1.12
+1.25 1.14 1.10
+1.50 1.11 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.00 5.25
-1.25 5.75 4.50
-1.00 5.00 4.10
-0.75 3.45 3.00
-0.50 2.75 2.42
-0.25 2.38 2.10
0 2.02 1.78
+0.25 1.70 1.55
+0.50 1.52 1.42
+0.75 1.38 1.30
+1.00 1.23 1.17
+1.25 1.19 1.14
+1.50 1.16 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.70 2.41
-0.25 2.31 2.08
0 1.94 1.74
+0.25 1.64 1.52
+0.50 1.48 1.39

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.60 3.15
-0.50 2.85 2.55
-0.25 2.47 2.18
+0.25 1.72 1.57
+0.50 1.55 1.45
+0.75 1.38 1.31

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.30 6.25
-1.50 5.55 4.80
-1.25 5.15 4.40
-1.00 4.75 3.98
-0.75 3.28 2.88
-0.25 2.30 2.05
0 1.98 1.76
+0.25 1.64 1.51
+0.75 1.32 1.25
+1.00 1.17 1.12
+1.25 1.14 1.10
+1.50 1.11 1.08
+1.75 1.06 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.45 4.67
-0.75 3.68 3.26
-0.50 2.92 2.64
-0.25 2.48 2.24
0 2.03 1.83
+0.25 1.68 1.56
+0.50 1.50 1.42
+0.75 1.34 1.29
+1.00 1.20 1.16
Primary Bets
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