Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oţelul
Final Score
2 – 3
(HT 0-1)
Corvinul Hunedoara
Kick-off 15:00 Stadium Stadionul Oțelul

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Oţelul opened at 0 against Corvinul Hunedoara in the Liga I. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.16
Oţelul -0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.74 / 1.57
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Oţelul 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Oţelul than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Oţelul 0
@ 2.10
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.83
Price Advantage
+14.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
04:53
Opening
0
12:28
Last Pre-Match
0
14:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 2.06 0 1.95 / 1.77 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.04 / 2.59 0 2.04 / 1.82 0 +0.25
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.75 / 1.54 +0.25 1.75 / 1.54 +0.25 0
Bet365 0 1.70 / 2.10 0 2.10 / 1.70 0 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 2.06 0 1.96 / 1.76 0 0
Betano +0.25 1.53 / 1.78 +0.25 1.72 / 1.57 +0.25 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.98 / 2.44 0 1.94 / 1.74 0 +0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 10.00
-1.75 8.35 7.70
-1.50 6.15 5.30
-1.25 5.65 4.84
-1.00 5.15 4.33
-0.75 3.48 3.05
-0.25 2.40 2.10
0 1.96 1.76
+0.25 1.60 1.51
+0.75 1.28 1.22
+1.00 1.14 1.10
+1.25 1.11 1.08
+1.50 1.09 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 6.40
-1.50 6.60 4.65
-1.25 6.00 4.25
-1.00 5.50 3.80
-0.75 3.55 2.75
-0.50 2.85 2.35
-0.25 2.50 2.05
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.75 1.50
+0.50 1.58 1.40
+0.75 1.42 1.27
+1.00 1.25 1.15
+1.25 1.21 1.12
+1.50 1.18 1.11
+1.75 1.12 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.85 2.86
-0.50 2.70 2.41
-0.25 2.31 2.08
0 1.94 1.74
+0.25 1.64 1.52
+0.50 1.48 1.39
+0.75 1.35 1.35

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.55 3.10
-0.50 2.85 2.52
-0.25 2.47 2.18
+0.25 1.72 1.57
+0.50 1.55 1.45
+0.75 1.39 1.32

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.30 7.10
-1.50 6.15 5.30
-1.25 5.65 4.85
-1.00 5.10 4.35
-0.75 3.42 3.05
-0.25 2.35 2.10
0 1.95 1.77
+0.25 1.60 1.48
+0.75 1.28 1.23
+1.00 1.14 1.10
+1.25 1.11 1.08
+1.50 1.09 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.55 4.93
-0.75 3.78 3.35
-0.50 3.00 2.68
-0.25 2.53 2.25
0 2.04 1.82
+0.25 1.67 1.55
+0.50 1.49 1.41
+0.75 1.33 1.28
+1.00 1.19 1.16

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.42 2.09
+0.25 1.75 1.54
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More