Blackpool vs Wycombe Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Blackpool
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Wycombe
Kick-off 14:00 Stadium Bloomfield Road

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Blackpool opened at 0 against Wycombe in the League One. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 6 of 8 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.27 / 1.33
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Blackpool 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 6 / 9 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Wycombe than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Wycombe 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.05
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.93
Price Advantage
+3.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
6 / 8 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:30
Opening
0
12:04
Last Pre-Match
0
14:10
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.85 / 1.85 0 1.85 / 1.85 0 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.92 0 1.84 / 1.90 0 0
Betfair DEEP +1.50 1.13 / 1.14 +1.50 1.13 / 1.14 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.85 / 1.99 0 1.91 / 1.98 0 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.98 0 1.85 / 2.00 0 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.92 0 1.84 / 1.90 0 0
Unibet +0.50 1.45 / 1.47 -0.50 2.43 / 2.50 -0.50 -1.00
Betano +0.25 1.65 / 1.62 +0.25 1.65 / 1.62 +0.25 0
BetVictor 0 1.79 / 1.88 0 1.79 / 1.88 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.85 1.85

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.20 10.00
-1.75 6.95 7.95
-1.50 5.20 5.45
-1.25 4.71 4.95
-1.00 4.25 4.45
-0.75 2.98 3.13
-0.25 2.18 2.22
0 1.84 1.90
+0.25 1.56 1.63
+0.75 1.27 1.31
+1.00 1.14 1.15
+1.25 1.11 1.12
+1.50 1.08 1.10
+1.75 1.04 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.25 5.50
-1.25 4.65 5.00
-1.00 4.25 4.50
-0.75 3.10 3.30
-0.50 2.50 2.60
-0.25 2.20 2.30
0 1.85 2.00
+0.25 1.60 1.65
+0.50 1.48 1.50
+0.75 1.32 1.35
+1.00 1.19 1.21
+1.25 1.17 1.18
+1.50 1.15 1.16

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.25 4.70 5.05
-1.00 4.25 4.60
-0.75 3.00 3.20
-0.50 2.44 2.56
-0.25 2.12 2.23
0 1.79 1.88
+0.25 1.56 1.62
+0.50 1.43 1.47
+0.75 1.29 1.32
+1.00 1.15 1.17
+1.25 1.12 1.14

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.57 2.52
-0.25 2.25 2.20
+0.25 1.65 1.62
+0.50 1.50 1.50

Betfair Main —

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.50 10.50
-1.50 5.00 5.50
+1.50 1.13 1.14
+2.50 1.03 1.03

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.85 7.20
-1.50 5.15 5.40
-1.25 4.70 4.90
-1.00 4.20 4.45
-0.75 2.98 3.12
-0.25 2.12 2.20
0 1.84 1.90
+0.25 1.57 1.61
+0.75 1.28 1.31
+1.00 1.14 1.15
+1.25 1.11 1.12
+1.50 1.09 1.10
+1.75 1.03 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.50 4.76
-0.75 3.22 3.37
-0.50 2.63 2.73
-0.25 2.27 2.36
0 1.91 1.98
+0.25 1.64 1.68
+0.50 1.49 1.52
+0.75 1.34 1.37
+1.00 1.21 1.22

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.70 5.00
-0.50 2.43 2.50
+0.50 1.45 1.47
+1.50 1.12 1.13
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →