Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Botev Plovdiv
Final Score
1 – 3
(HT 0-0)
Levski Sofia
Kick-off 16:00 Stadium Stadion Hristo Botev

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Botev Plovdiv opened at -0.50 against Levski Sofia in the First League. The current market consensus is -0.50. The current consensus is -0.50 across 1 of 1 valid books, with 100% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.31
Botev Plovdiv +0.31

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 0.88 / 1.24
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Botev Plovdiv -0.50
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.50 · 1 / 1 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.81
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.81 AH points more toward Levski Sofia than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

The current market does not provide sufficient validation for a tradable signal.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.50
1 / 1 valid books · 100% agreement · Insufficient

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.50 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
13:11
Opening
-0.50
13:11
Last Pre-Match
-0.50
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.

No sharp books on this market.

Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Unibet -0.50 3.20 / 2.00 -0.50 3.20 / 2.00 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.20 2.00
+0.50 1.70 1.28
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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