Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Alianza Valledupar
Oct 09, 2026 - 23:00
1.22 1.65
Águilas Doradas
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Alianza Valledupar opened at 0 against Águilas Doradas in the Primera A. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.39
Alianza Valledupar +0.39

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Alianza Valledupar 0
Model–Market Gap
0.39
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.39 AH points more toward Águilas Doradas than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Águilas Doradas 0
@ 2.05
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.39
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+28.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.82 / 1.89 0 1.75 / 1.98 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.94 / 1.85 0 1.80 / 2.05 — 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 1.75 / 2.05 — 0
1xBet 0 1.82 / 1.89 0 1.75 / 1.98 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.65 / 1.60 +0.25 1.65 / 1.60 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.72 / 1.97 0 1.73 / 1.96 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.39
xG 1.22 / 1.65 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.80
Alianza Valledupar @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.68
Alianza Valledupar @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.80 vs 2.68
Market price is 32.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.80 10.00
-1.75 6.40 7.60
-1.50 4.90 5.75
-1.25 4.45 5.30
-1.00 4.00 4.85
-0.75 2.83 3.28
-0.25 2.07 2.30
0 1.75 1.98
+0.25 1.50 1.69
+0.75 1.25 1.33
+1.00 1.11 1.17
+1.25 1.09 1.14
+1.50 1.07 1.11
+1.75 1.03 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 6.25
-1.25 4.65 5.75
-1.00 4.25 5.25
-0.75 3.10 3.55
-0.50 2.50 2.85
-0.25 2.15 2.42
0 1.75 2.05
+0.25 1.52 1.68
+0.50 1.40 1.50
+0.75 1.27 1.35
+1.00 1.16 1.21
+1.25 1.14 1.18
+1.50 1.12 1.15

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.40 2.71
-0.25 2.07 2.34
0 1.73 1.96
+0.25 1.51 1.65
+0.50 1.39 1.48

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.80
-0.25 2.30 2.22
+0.25 1.65 1.60
+0.50 1.42 1.55

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 7.60
-1.50 4.90 5.75
-1.25 4.45 5.30
-1.00 4.00 4.85
-0.75 2.83 3.28
-0.25 2.02 2.30
0 1.75 1.98
+0.25 1.50 1.65
+0.75 1.25 1.33
+1.00 1.11 1.17
+1.25 1.09 1.14
+1.50 1.07 1.11
+1.75 1.03 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.55 5.17
-0.75 3.15 3.59
-0.50 2.54 2.89
-0.25 2.17 2.47
0 1.80 2.05
+0.25 1.56 1.70
+0.50 1.42 1.53
+0.75 1.29 1.36
+1.00 1.17 1.20
Primary Bets
More