Predictions / Football / Alianza Petrolera

Alianza Petrolera Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
Colombia Founded: 1991 ALI
Underperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Alianza Petrolera's recent results have underperformed their underlying chance creation. The team averages 1.20 xG but scores only 0.8 goals per game, suggesting inefficient finishing in recent fixtures (0.40 goals below expected per match). Across the last 10 matches, a 20% win rate underscores the gap between results and chance creation.

Performance Insights

  • Finishing Gap — 1.20 xG vs 0.8 goals/game (-0.40 below expected)
  • Home Struggle — 17% home win rate, conceding 2.3 goals/game at home
  • Balanced Totals — 60% Over / 40% Under in last 10, no clear edge
  • Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Alianza Petrolera's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
L W W L L
Win Rate
20%
Record (Last 10)
2W 1D 7L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Alianza Petrolera Matches

00:45
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera
xG:

Recent Results & Statistics for Alianza Petrolera (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome

Alianza Petrolera Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 8
Goals Conceded 20
Avg. Goals Scored 0.8
Avg. Goals Conceded 2.0

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 2
Draws 1
Losses 7
Win Rate 20%
Home (6) 1W 1D 4L
Away (4) 1W 0D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%
Under 2.5 Rate 40%
BTTS Rate 50%
Avg. Total Goals 2.8

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 4/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 40% (4/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 60%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 40%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 10 recent Alianza Petrolera matches, achieving a 40% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (50%) than home matches (33%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 40%
Home Accuracy 33%
Away Accuracy 50%

Attacking Trends

Alianza Petrolera average 0.8 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.0 shots per game with 3.0 on target (27.3% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 1.20 exceeds their actual 0.8 goals, suggesting some wasteful finishing. Averaging 41% possession suggests a counter-attacking tactical approach.

Goals/Game 0.8
Avg. Shots 11.0
Shot Accuracy 27.3%
Avg. xG 1.20
Possession 41%

Home vs Away Performance

Alianza Petrolera show little home advantage In their last 6 home and 4 away matches, they have a 17% home win rate (1W) vs 25% away (1W). At home, they score 1.0 goals/game and concede 2.3, while away they score 0.5 and concede 1.5. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 17%
Away Win Rate 25%
Home Goals/Game 1.0
Away Goals/Game 0.5

Goal Distribution

Alianza Petrolera's goals are predominantly scored in the first half, with 70% coming before half-time and 30% after. Their most dangerous period is the 0-15 minute window, accounting for 30% of goals. They are particularly dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 30% of goals in that window.

30%
0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
10%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
10%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 70%
2nd Half Goals 30%
Peak Period 0-15 min (30%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Alianza Petrolera's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.8 (scored 0.8 + conceded 2.0). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%
Under 2.5 40%
Avg. Total Goals 2.8
BTTS Rate 50%

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