Londrina vs Criciuma Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Londrina
Oct 02, 2026 - 23:30
1.16 1.16
Criciuma
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Londrina opened at 0 against Criciuma in the Serie B. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Londrina 0
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
LEAN
Londrina 0
@ 2.05
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+2.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.93 / 1.79 0 1.93 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.99 / 1.85 0 1.99 / 1.85 — 0
Bet365 0 2.05 / 1.75 0 2.05 / 1.75 — 0
1xBet 0 1.93 / 1.79 0 1.93 / 1.79 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.65 / 1.62 +0.25 1.67 / 1.57 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.90 / 1.78 0 1.93 / 1.75 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.16 / 1.16 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.99
Londrina @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Londrina @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.99 vs 2.00
Market price is 0.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.35 8.25
-1.50 6.10 5.50
-1.25 5.55 4.95
-1.00 5.00 4.40
-0.75 3.28 2.97
-0.25 2.30 2.08
0 1.93 1.79
+0.25 1.61 1.56
+0.75 1.30 1.25
+1.00 1.14 1.10
+1.25 1.11 1.08
+1.50 1.08 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 5.50
-1.25 5.90 4.65
-1.00 5.50 4.15
-0.75 3.55 3.00
-0.50 2.85 2.42
-0.25 2.42 2.10
0 2.05 1.75
+0.25 1.70 1.52
+0.50 1.52 1.40
+0.75 1.38 1.27
+1.00 1.22 1.15
+1.25 1.18 1.13
+1.50 1.15 1.11

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.70 2.46
-0.25 2.31 2.11
0 1.93 1.75
+0.25 1.62 1.52
+0.50 1.46 1.39

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.72 2.50
-0.25 2.35 2.18
+0.25 1.67 1.57
+0.50 1.52 1.44

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.40 7.50
-1.50 6.10 5.50
-1.25 5.55 4.95
-1.00 5.00 4.40
-0.75 3.28 2.97
-0.25 2.25 2.08
0 1.93 1.79
+0.25 1.61 1.52
+0.75 1.30 1.25
+1.00 1.14 1.10
+1.25 1.11 1.08
+1.50 1.08 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.03 4.51
-0.75 3.45 3.18
-0.50 2.76 2.58
-0.25 2.38 2.22
0 1.99 1.85
+0.25 1.68 1.60
+0.50 1.51 1.45
+0.75 1.35 1.31
+1.00 1.20 1.17
Primary Bets
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