Gefle IF vs Arlanda Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Gefle IF
Final Score
0 – 2
(HT 0-0)
Arlanda
Kick-off 17:30 Stadium Gavlevallen

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Gefle IF opened at 0 against Arlanda in the Ettan - Norra. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.27 / 1.33
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Gefle IF 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Arlanda than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

Price advantage is below the lean threshold.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:30
Opening
0
12:00
Last Pre-Match
0
17:29
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.84 / 1.94 0 1.85 / 1.94 0 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 0
1xBet 0 1.82 / 1.88 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 0
BetVictor 0 1.79 / 1.88 0 1.80 / 1.87 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.70 10.00
-2.00 8.70 9.10
-1.75 6.19 7.07
-1.50 4.75 5.00
-1.25 4.33 4.60
-1.00 3.90 4.15
-0.75 2.83 2.97
-0.25 2.09 2.15
0 1.80 1.86
+0.25 1.56 1.63
+0.75 1.30 1.33
+1.00 1.16 1.18
+1.25 1.13 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.05 1.06
+2.00 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 6.60
-1.50 4.65 5.00
-1.25 4.25 4.50
-1.00 3.80 4.10
-0.75 2.85 3.00
-0.50 2.38 2.50
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.62 1.68
+0.50 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.23 1.25
+1.25 1.19 1.21
+1.50 1.17 1.18
+1.75 1.11 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.11 2.20
0 1.80 1.87
+0.25 1.57 1.62

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.30 8.90
-1.75 6.20 6.55
-1.50 4.75 5.00
-1.25 4.33 4.60
-1.00 3.90 4.15
-0.75 2.83 2.97
-0.25 2.07 2.15
0 1.80 1.86
+0.25 1.56 1.61
+0.75 1.30 1.33
+1.00 1.16 1.18
+1.25 1.13 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.05 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.91 3.08
-0.50 2.43 2.54
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.85 1.94
+0.25 1.61 1.67
+0.50 1.47 1.51
+0.75 1.33 1.37
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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