Strømsgodset II vs Fløya Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Strømsgodset II
Final Score
2 – 4
(HT 0-0)
Fløya
Kick-off 13:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Strømsgodset II opened at 0 against Fløya in the 3. Division - Girone 5. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 2 of 4 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is +0.75.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.32 / 1.28
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Strømsgodset II 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Strømsgodset II than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Strømsgodset II 0
@ 2.66
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+36.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
2 / 4 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
06:00
Opening
0
12:00
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP +0.75
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
+0.75
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.75 / 1.91 0 1.75 / 1.91 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.93 / 2.11 -0.50 2.31 / 1.64 — -0.25
1xBet 0 1.75 / 1.91 0 1.75 / 1.91 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.76 / 1.92 0 2.34 / 1.51 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.30 8.50
-2.00 6.50 7.70
-1.75 4.65 5.35
-1.50 3.72 4.25
-1.25 3.34 3.88
-1.00 3.04 3.50
-0.75 2.43 2.74
-0.25 1.94 2.12
0 1.75 1.91
+0.25 1.58 1.73
+0.75 1.35 1.44
+1.00 1.22 1.29
+1.25 1.18 1.24
+1.50 1.15 1.20
+1.75 1.09 1.12
+2.00 1.02 1.05

BetVictor Main -0.75

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.47 1.78
-0.50 2.31 1.62
-0.25 2.53 1.47
0 2.34 1.51
+0.25 2.44 1.44
+0.50 2.11 1.52
+0.75 1.90 1.46

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.30 8.50
-2.00 6.50 7.70
-1.75 4.65 5.35
-1.50 3.72 4.25
-1.25 3.34 3.88
-1.00 3.04 3.50
-0.75 2.43 2.74
-0.25 1.92 2.12
0 1.75 1.91
+0.25 1.58 1.71
+0.75 1.35 1.44
+1.00 1.22 1.29
+1.25 1.18 1.24
+1.50 1.15 1.20
+1.75 1.09 1.12
+2.00 1.02 1.05

Pinnacle Main +0.75

AH Home Away
-1.00 2.83 1.99
-0.75 2.35 1.79
-0.50 2.31 1.64
-0.25 2.45 1.51
0 2.66 1.40
+0.25 2.33 1.44
+0.50 2.12 1.51
+0.75 1.94 1.50
+1.00 1.72 1.34
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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