Rosenborg vs Viking Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Rosenborg
Final Score
2 – 1
(HT 1-0)
Viking
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Lerkendal Stadion

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Rosenborg opened at 0 against Viking in the Eliteserien. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 6 of 10 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.32
Rosenborg -0.32

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.90 / 1.56
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Rosenborg 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 6 / 11 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.32
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.32 AH points more toward Rosenborg than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Rosenborg 0
@ 1.88
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.32
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.70
Price Advantage
+10.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
6 / 10 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
0
12:04
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.93 / 1.80 0 1.83 / 1.91 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.92 / 1.83 0 1.83 / 1.92 — 0
Betfair DEEP +1.50 1.17 / 1.14 +1.50 1.17 / 1.14 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.96 / 1.89 0 1.88 / 2.01 — 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.70 / 1.64 +0.25 1.70 / 1.64 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.86 0 1.86 / 1.96 — 0
Unibet -0.50 2.50 / 2.23 -0.50 2.38 / 2.33 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.72 / 1.65 +0.25 1.65 / 1.70 — 0
Superbet +0.50 1.55 / 1.47 -0.50 2.50 / 2.30 — -1.00
BetVictor 0 1.88 / 1.79 0 1.79 / 1.88 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.83 1.91

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.90 8.50
-2.00 7.20 7.80
-1.75 5.15 5.50
-1.50 4.10 4.40
-1.25 3.76 4.05
-1.00 3.35 3.68
-0.75 2.67 2.82
-0.25 2.13 2.14
0 1.86 1.96
+0.25 1.60 1.73
+0.75 1.33 1.38
+1.00 1.20 1.24
+1.25 1.17 1.19
+1.50 1.14 1.16
+1.75 1.08 1.10
+2.00 1.02 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 6.00
-1.50 4.40 4.50
-1.25 4.00 4.25
-1.00 3.70 3.80
-0.75 2.85 3.00
-0.50 2.38 2.50
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.62 1.68
+0.50 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.25 1.26
+1.25 1.21 1.23
+1.50 1.19 1.20
+1.75 1.12 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.31 2.44
-0.25 2.05 2.17
0 1.79 1.88
+0.25 1.59 1.66
+0.50 1.47 1.52

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.40 2.50
-0.25 2.12 2.22
+0.25 1.65 1.70
+0.50 1.52 1.55

Betfair Main —

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.50 9.50
-1.50 5.00 4.50
+1.50 1.17 1.14
+2.50 1.04 1.04

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.90 8.50
-2.00 7.20 7.80
-1.75 5.15 5.50
-1.50 4.10 4.40
-1.25 3.76 4.05
-1.00 3.35 3.68
-0.75 2.67 2.84
-0.25 2.04 2.14
0 1.83 1.92
+0.25 1.60 1.66
+0.75 1.34 1.38
+1.00 1.20 1.24
+1.25 1.17 1.19
+1.50 1.14 1.16
+1.75 1.08 1.10
+2.00 1.02 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.77 4.06
-0.75 2.91 3.11
-0.50 2.46 2.61
-0.25 2.17 2.30
0 1.88 2.01
+0.25 1.67 1.74
+0.50 1.54 1.60
+0.75 1.40 1.44
+1.00 1.26 1.30

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.28 2.19
+0.25 1.70 1.64

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.50 4.10
-0.50 2.50 2.30
+0.50 1.55 1.47
+1.50 1.20 1.17

Unibet Main +0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.30 4.20
-0.50 2.38 2.33
+0.50 1.50 1.50
+1.50 1.17 1.17
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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