Fort Wayne vs One Knoxville Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Fort Wayne
Final Score
2 – 3
(HT 2-0)
One Knoxville
Kick-off 23:30 Stadium Ruoff Mortgage Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Fort Wayne opened at 0 against One Knoxville in the USL League One. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Fort Wayne +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.21 / 1.39
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Fort Wayne 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward One Knoxville than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
One Knoxville 0
@ 2.03
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.79
Price Advantage
+13.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
16:15
Opening
0
18:00
Last Pre-Match
0
23:29
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.72 / 1.95 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.77 / 2.03 0 1.77 / 2.03 0 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.72 / 1.95 0 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.81 / 2.02 -0.25 1.81 / 2.01 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 7.30
-1.50 4.60 5.45
-1.25 4.14 5.00
-1.00 3.70 4.50
-0.75 2.70 3.14
-0.25 2.00 2.26
0 1.72 1.95
+0.25 1.51 1.68
+0.75 1.27 1.36
+1.00 1.13 1.20
+1.25 1.10 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.13
+1.75 1.03 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 6.40
-1.50 4.15 5.00
-1.25 3.80 4.50
-1.00 3.45 4.15
-0.75 2.75 3.10
-0.50 2.35 2.68
-0.25 2.08 2.35
0 1.78 2.02
+0.25 1.58 1.72
+0.50 1.45 1.58
+0.75 1.35 1.42
+1.00 1.22 1.30
+1.25 1.19 1.25
+1.50 1.17 1.22
+1.75 1.12 1.15

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.02 2.23
-0.25 1.81 2.01
0 1.58 1.76
+0.25 1.43 1.54
+0.50 1.33 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 7.30
-1.50 4.60 5.45
-1.25 4.15 5.00
-1.00 3.70 4.50
-0.75 2.70 3.14
-0.25 1.98 2.26
0 1.72 1.95
+0.25 1.51 1.67
+0.75 1.27 1.36
+1.00 1.13 1.20
+1.25 1.10 1.16
+1.50 1.08 1.13
+1.75 1.03 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.67 3.12
-0.50 2.26 2.58
-0.25 2.02 2.32
0 1.77 2.03
+0.25 1.58 1.75
+0.50 1.46 1.58
+0.75 1.32 1.43
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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