市场 vs 公允价
公允估计可信度: 中
| 赛果 | 公允 | 市场 | 偏差 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stonava | 33.84% | — | — |
| Draw | 27.45% | — | — |
| Havířov | 38.71% | — | — |
偏差 status: —
公允概率来自 Poisson/xG 统计模型,非博彩赔率,非投注建议。
决策生命周期
当前阶段: 等待收盘线
- 预测已生成
- 市场已对比
- 模型已验证
- 收盘已记录
- CLV 已评估
- 入场
- 待定
- 收盘
- 待定
- CLV
- 待定
最终投注结论
常规门槛下无默认下注 — 倾向仅供上下文参考。
- 1X2 无价值(Havířov vs. 当前赔率)
- 仅模型倾向(非默认下注):大于 2.5
- 仅模型倾向(非默认下注):BTTS 是
信心偏低(4/10)— 建议减小注额或跳过。
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1X2
❌ No bet — no value vs. current odds
No positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best odds.
Over 2.5 56.5% · Under 2.5 43.5%
Value lean:
Over 2.5
Yes 60.9% · No 39.1%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
Havířov · Model probability 38.8%
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 11.4%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
- pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.2.0
Continuously refined using model performance, market data and historical results.
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How to use this
- Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
- Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
- Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
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4. liga - Divizie F — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Havířov | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 59 |
| 2 | Bílovec | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 53 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Bospor Bohumín | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Stonava | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Valašské Meziříčí | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Šumperk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Zabreh | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Frýdlant | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37 |
| 10 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 37 |
| 11 | Opava II | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 37 |
| 12 | Petřvald na Moravě | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36 |
| 13 | Nový Jičín | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 36 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 15 | Pustá Polom | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 |
| 16 | Cesky Tesin | 28 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 13 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Havířov | 28 | 74 | 33 | +41 | 59 |
| 2 | Bospor Bohumín | 28 | 70 | 45 | +25 | 50 |
| 3 | Bílovec | 28 | 62 | 45 | +17 | 53 |
| 4 | Valašské Meziříčí | 29 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 41 |
| 5 | Stonava | 29 | 54 | 44 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 | Vratimov | 28 | 51 | 39 | +12 | 51 |
| 7 | Petřvald na Moravě | 29 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 36 |
| 8 | Opava II | 29 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 29 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Zabreh | 29 | 43 | 40 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 | Frýdlant | 29 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 | Nový Jičín | 29 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 28 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 39 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 29 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 | Pustá Polom | 28 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | Cesky Tesin | 28 | 21 | 61 | -40 | 13 |