Betting Signal
- 모델이 말하길
- 잉글랜드 63.3%
- 시장은 말한다
- 잉글랜드 74.9%
- 차이점
- 11.6 pp
- 상태
- Use caution — signals are mixed
전체 베팅 결과를 보려면 로그인하세요.
무료로 로그인하여 시장이 통과하는지, +EV가 존재할 수 있는지, Steam 경고가 표시되는지 최종 베팅 평결을 잠금 해제하세요.
OddsGPT Interpretation
The betting market strongly prefers 잉글랜드 (74.9%).
잉글랜드 — market direction supports the model lean.
모델 대 시장 비교
가장 큰 격차
잉글랜드 -11.6 pp
시장은 모델보다 잉글랜드에 대해 훨씬 더 낙관적입니다.
The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Elo 조정된 포아송 시뮬레이션에서 생성되었습니다. 북메이커 확률이 아닙니다.
How are win probabilities calculated?
Home and away expected goals (λ) are derived from Elo ratings and tournament parameters, then fed into a Dixon–Coles Poisson grid to produce 1X2, goal-line, and scoreline probabilities shown on this page.
Is this page betting advice?
No. OddsGPT displays model probabilities for informational purposes only. We do not recommend wagers or stake sizes on this page.
What does xG / λ mean here?
λ is the model’s pre-match expected goals for each team before variance is simulated. It is an input to the Poisson matrix, not a post-match expected-goals stat.
Why are exact score probabilities low?
Even the most likely scoreline typically sits below 15% because many score combinations share the probability mass — that is normal for Poisson models.
경기 단계: 완성된
결정 수명주기
현재 단계: CLV를 기다리는 중
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예측 생성됨
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시장 비교됨진입 대기 중
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검증 통과
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마감 기록됨마감 1.3
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CLV 평가됨CLV 대기 중 CLV 계산 대기 중
