Predictions / Football / Poland. Ekstraklasa / Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice

Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Feb 04, 2026 - 19:30
2.14
1.43
53% 23% 24%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 52.7% Jagiellonia; implied 55.7%; EV -10.4%
Steam vs. value
Market momentum is strong, but current odds may already be over-adjusted. Steam detected — model value on this line may be priced out.
This match appears on the market-movement board for aggressive line repricing — not because 1X2 is currently a positive-EV bet.
📈 Steam · Draw ↑ +11.0% · 10/14 · 62 A
Market steam Moderate
Current EV Negative
Closing line pressure High
Value remaining None
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
Both Teams To Score Lean
Yes 68.2% · No 31.8%
Value lean: BTTS Yes
1X2 Poor value
Jagiellonia · Model 52.7%
implied 55.7%
Main consensus market · EV: -10.4%
Best available bookmaker line: +-4.8% EV
Some outlier bookmaker prices may still show small theoretical value vs. the consensus line above.
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
2-1
Probability 9.2%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 5.0 / 10
  • No line above +EV threshold in tracked markets (−0.5)
  • No line above +EV threshold in tracked markets (−0.5)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Ekstraklasa EkstraklasaStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lech Poznan 34 16 12 6 60
2 Gornik Zabrze 34 16 8 10 56
3 Jagiellonia 34 15 11 8 56
4 Raków Częstochowa 34 16 7 11 55
5 GKS Katowice 34 14 8 12 50
6 Legia Warszawa 34 12 13 9 49
7 Zaglebie Lubin 34 13 9 12 48
8 Wisla Plock 34 12 10 12 46
9 Pogon Szczecin 34 13 6 15 45
10 Radomiak Radom 34 11 11 12 44
11 Korona Kielce 34 11 10 13 43
12 Motor Lublin 34 10 13 11 43
13 Cracovia Krakow 34 9 15 10 42
14 Widzew Łódź 34 12 6 16 42
15 Piast Gliwice 34 11 8 15 41
16 Lechia Gdansk 34 12 7 15 38
17 Arka Gdynia 34 9 9 16 36
18 Nieciecza 34 9 7 18 34
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 34 62 45 +17 60
2 Lechia Gdansk 34 62 65 -3 38
3 Jagiellonia 34 56 41 +15 56
4 Radomiak Radom 34 52 53 -1 44
5 Raków Częstochowa 34 51 40 +11 55
6 GKS Katowice 34 51 45 +6 50
7 Gornik Zabrze 34 50 38 +12 56
8 Pogon Szczecin 34 47 49 -2 45
9 Motor Lublin 34 46 53 -7 43
10 Zaglebie Lubin 34 45 38 +7 48
11 Nieciecza 34 43 65 -22 34
12 Legia Warszawa 34 42 37 +5 49
13 Piast Gliwice 34 42 46 -4 41
14 Widzew Łódź 34 41 41 0 42
15 Korona Kielce 34 40 40 0 43
16 Cracovia Krakow 34 39 42 -3 42
17 Wisla Plock 34 34 38 -4 46
18 Arka Gdynia 34 34 61 -27 36
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lech Poznan 34 59.8 34.6 +25.2 60
2 Legia Warszawa 34 44.3 34.9 +9.4 49
3 Raków Częstochowa 34 52.1 43.1 +9.0 55
4 Piast Gliwice 34 45.4 40.2 +5.2 41
5 Lechia Gdansk 34 48.3 43.9 +4.4 38
6 Pogon Szczecin 34 52.4 48.2 +4.2 45
7 Gornik Zabrze 34 41.5 39.4 +2.1 56
8 Cracovia Krakow 34 38.1 36.2 +1.9 42
9 Widzew Łódź 34 38.2 37.2 +1.0 42
10 Korona Kielce 34 49.6 49.8 -0.2 43
11 Radomiak Radom 34 42.0 43.8 -1.8 44
12 Wisla Plock 34 41.6 44.2 -2.6 46
13 GKS Katowice 34 41.1 45.5 -4.4 50
14 Jagiellonia 34 42.4 48.3 -5.9 56
15 Zaglebie Lubin 34 33.5 42.8 -9.3 48
16 Nieciecza 34 42.4 54.9 -12.5 34
17 Motor Lublin 34 39.5 52.2 -12.7 43
18 Arka Gdynia 34 36.0 49.1 -13.1 36