통계 / 축구 / 세계. CAF U23 Cup of Nations / Uganda U23 vs Eswatini U23

Uganda U23 vs Eswatini U23 Statistics & Analysis

Uganda U23 Uganda U23
Sep 29, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Eswatini U23 Eswatini U23
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추적된 시장과 풀타임 결과

각 행은 경기 전 모델의 린과 풀타임 결과를 비교합니다.

  • 시장 예측 결과 결과
  • 오버 / 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 (1 목표) ✔ 옳은
  • 양 팀 득점 여부 BTTS (양 팀 득점 여부) 예 아니요 ✖ 잘못된
  • 1X2 Uganda U23 Eswatini U23 ✖ 잘못된
  • 정확한 점수 통찰력 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ 옳은

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11663193

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Eswatini U23 win · Uganda U23 0–1 Eswatini U23
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI 경기 브리핑

AI 매치 요약

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: CAF U23 Cup of Nations
  • Fixture: Uganda U23 vs Eswatini U23
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-29 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Uganda U23 1.32 — Eswatini U23 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

역사적 추천

역사적 결정: No Primary Bet

결과: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

킥오프 전 고려되는 위험 요소

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

마지막 업데이트

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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