로워 브렉 vs 체스터 Statistics & Analysis

로워 브렉

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.27

2 1.33

xG Accuracy: 77%

체스터

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추적된 시장과 풀타임 결과

각 행은 경기 전 모델의 린과 풀타임 결과를 비교합니다.

시장 예측 결과 결과
오버 / 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 오버 2.5 (3 목표) ✖ 잘못된
양 팀 득점 여부 BTTS (양 팀 득점 여부) 예 예 ✔ 옳은
1X2 체스터 체스터 ✔ 옳은
정확한 점수 통찰력 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ 옳은

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8692328

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result 체스터 win · 로워 브렉 1–2 체스터

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 경기 브리핑

AI 매치 요약

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 잉글랜드 FA컵
Fixture: 로워 브렉 vs 체스터
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): 로워 브렉 1.27 — 체스터 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

역사적 추천

역사적 결정: No Primary Bet

결과: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

킥오프 전 고려되는 위험 요소

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

마지막 업데이트

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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