통계 / 축구 / 세계. 클럽 친선경기 / 로리앙 vs UNFP

로리앙 vs UNFP Statistics & Analysis

로리앙 로리앙
Aug 04, 2026 - 09:00
5 1.35
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 34%
UNFP UNFP
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추적된 시장과 풀타임 결과

각 행은 경기 전 모델의 린과 풀타임 결과를 비교합니다.

  • 시장 예측 결과 결과
  • 오버 / 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 오버 2.5 (6 목표) ✖ 잘못된
  • 양 팀 득점 여부 BTTS (양 팀 득점 여부) 예 예 ✔ 옳은
  • 1X2 로리앙 로리앙 ✔ 옳은
  • 정확한 점수 통찰력 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ 잘못된

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 29, 2026 · 10:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2360579

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result 로리앙 win · 로리앙 5–1 UNFP
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 경기 브리핑

AI 매치 요약

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 클럽 친선경기
  • Fixture: 로리앙 vs UNFP
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): 로리앙 1.35 — UNFP 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

역사적 추천

역사적 결정: No Primary Bet

결과: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

킥오프 전 고려되는 위험 요소

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

마지막 업데이트

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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