통계 / 축구 / 세계. 아세안 챔피언십 / 동티모르 vs 인도네시아

동티모르 vs 인도네시아 Statistics & Analysis

Jul 31, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.21
3 1.39
xG Accuracy: 46%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

추적된 시장과 풀타임 결과

각 행은 경기 전 모델의 린과 풀타임 결과를 비교합니다.

  • 시장 예측 결과 결과
  • 오버 / 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 오버 2.5 (3 목표) ✖ 잘못된
  • 양 팀 득점 여부 BTTS (양 팀 득점 여부) 예 아니요 ✖ 잘못된
  • 1X2 인도네시아 인도네시아 ✔ 옳은
  • 정확한 점수 통찰력 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ 잘못된

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 02:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1669374

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result 인도네시아 win · 동티모르 0–3 인도네시아
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 경기 브리핑

AI 매치 요약

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 아세안 챔피언십
  • Fixture: 동티모르 vs 인도네시아
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-31 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): 동티모르 1.21 — 인도네시아 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

역사적 추천

역사적 결정: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

결과: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

킥오프 전 고려되는 위험 요소

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

마지막 업데이트

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

프리미엄 예측 받기 동티모르 & 인도네시아!

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