프로그레스 니더콘 vs 엑셀시오르 비르통 Statistics & Analysis

프로그레스 니더콘

Jul 25, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.24

1 1.36

xG Accuracy: 85%

엑셀시오르 비르통

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추적된 시장과 풀타임 결과

각 행은 경기 전 모델의 린과 풀타임 결과를 비교합니다.

시장 예측 결과 결과
오버 / 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 (2 목표) ✔ 옳은
양 팀 득점 여부 BTTS (양 팀 득점 여부) 예 예 ✔ 옳은
1X2 엑셀시오르 비르통 그리다 ✖ 잘못된
정확한 점수 통찰력 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ 옳은

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454303

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · 프로그레스 니더콘 1–1 엑셀시오르 비르통

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 경기 브리핑

AI 매치 요약

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: Progrès Niederkorn vs 엑셀시오르 비르통
Kickoff: 2026-07-26 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Progrès Niederkorn 1.24 — 엑셀시오르 비르통 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.7% · Probability edge: +14.1 pts · Est. EV: +29.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

역사적 추천

역사적 결정: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

결과: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

킥오프 전 고려되는 위험 요소

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

마지막 업데이트

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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