통계 / 축구 / 미국. USL 리그 투 / 투손 vs 시티 SC

투손 vs 시티 SC Statistics & Analysis

Jun 27, 2026 - 02:00
3 1.39
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 61%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

추적된 시장과 풀타임 결과

각 행은 경기 전 모델의 린과 풀타임 결과를 비교합니다.

  • 시장 예측 결과 결과
  • 오버 / 언더 2.5 언더 2.5 오버 2.5 (4 목표) ✖ 잘못된
  • 양 팀 득점 여부 BTTS (양 팀 득점 여부) 예 예 ✔ 옳은
  • 1X2 투손 투손 ✔ 옳은
  • 정확한 점수 통찰력 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ 잘못된

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1550148

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result 투손 win · 투손 3–1 시티 SC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 경기 브리핑

AI 매치 요약

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: USL 리그 투
  • Fixture: 투손 vs 시티 SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 02:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): 투손 1.39 — 시티 SC 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

역사적 추천

역사적 결정: No Primary Bet

결과: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

킥오프 전 고려되는 위험 요소

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

마지막 업데이트

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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