Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
Not available
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Drita Drita ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Oct 17, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Drita win · 1–2
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
No prediction record
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Drita win · Llapi 1–2 Drita
Prediction
No prediction record
Decision Grade
Not assessed
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Superliga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prishtina | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| 2 | Malisheva | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | Drita | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| 4 | Gjilani | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Ballkani | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Dukagjini | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Feronikeli | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 8 | Drenica Skënderaj | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Llapi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Vushtrria | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malisheva | 13 | 27 | 11 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Prishtina | 13 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 32 |
| 3 | Drita | 13 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | Gjilani | 13 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Ballkani | 13 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Drenica Skënderaj | 13 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 7 | Dukagjini | 13 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Feronikeli | 13 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Llapi | 13 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 8 |
| 10 | Vushtrria | 13 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 3 |
