Statistics / Football / Ivory-Coast. Ligue 1 / Korhogo vs US Tchologo

Korhogo vs US Tchologo Statistics & Analysis

Korhogo Korhogo
Oct 12, 2026 - 15:30
3 1.38
3 1.22
xG Accuracy: 39%
US Tchologo US Tchologo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Korhogo Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 10, 2026 · 00:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14513097

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Korhogo 3–3 US Tchologo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligue 1
  • Fixture: Korhogo vs US Tchologo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-12 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Korhogo 1.38 — US Tchologo 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue 1 Ligue 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Yamoussoukro 3 2 1 0 7
2 SOA 3 2 1 0 7
3 Zoman 3 2 1 0 7
4 San-Pédro 3 2 0 1 6
5 SOL 2 2 0 0 6
6 ES Agboville 2 1 1 0 4
7 ISCA 3 1 1 1 4
8 Bouaké 3 1 0 2 3
9 Stade d'Abidjan 2 0 2 0 2
10 Korhogo 3 0 2 1 2
11 AFAD 3 0 2 1 2
12 Stella 3 0 2 1 2
13 ASEC Mimosas 3 0 2 1 2
14 US Tchologo 3 0 2 1 2
15 Mouna 3 0 1 2 1
16 Adiake 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 San-Pédro 3 5 1 +4 6
2 Yamoussoukro 3 4 1 +3 7
3 SOA 3 4 2 +2 7
4 Zoman 3 4 2 +2 7
5 Korhogo 3 4 5 -1 2
6 AFAD 3 3 4 -1 2
7 US Tchologo 3 3 5 -2 2
8 SOL 2 2 0 +2 6
9 ES Agboville 2 2 1 +1 4
10 Stella 3 2 3 -1 2
11 Bouaké 3 2 5 -3 3
12 ISCA 3 1 1 0 4
13 Stade d'Abidjan 2 1 1 0 2
14 ASEC Mimosas 3 1 2 -1 2
15 Adiake 2 1 3 -2 0
16 Mouna 3 0 3 -3 1