Statistics / Football / Kyrgyzstan. Premier League / Kara-Balta vs Bishkek City

Kara-Balta vs Bishkek City Statistics & Analysis

Kara-Balta Kara-Balta
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.22
4 1.38
xG Accuracy: 35%
Bishkek City Bishkek City
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bishkek City Bishkek City ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 00:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13881608

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bishkek City win · Kara-Balta 0–4 Bishkek City
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Kara-Balta vs Bishkek City
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Kara-Balta 1.22 — Bishkek City 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bars 25 16 4 5 52
2 Alga 25 15 7 3 52
3 Asia Talas 25 14 7 4 49
4 Ozgon 24 15 3 6 48
5 Muras United 24 13 8 3 47
6 Alay 25 11 7 7 40
7 Talant 25 8 9 8 33
8 Bishkek City 26 8 9 9 33
9 Neftchi 26 10 3 13 33
10 Toktogul 25 9 4 12 31
11 Dordoi Bishkek 24 8 5 11 29
12 Ilbirs 24 6 10 8 28
13 OshMU Aldier 26 7 7 12 28
14 Asiagoal 25 4 9 12 21
15 Abdish-Ata 25 3 6 16 15
16 Kara-Balta 26 1 6 19 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bars 25 69 35 +34 52
2 Asia Talas 25 57 38 +19 49
3 Ozgon 24 52 31 +21 48
4 Muras United 24 49 23 +26 47
5 Alga 25 47 27 +20 52
6 Dordoi Bishkek 24 38 35 +3 29
7 Neftchi 26 35 42 -7 33
8 OshMU Aldier 26 35 50 -15 28
9 Talant 25 33 25 +8 33
10 Bishkek City 26 33 33 0 33
11 Alay 25 32 31 +1 40
12 Ilbirs 24 29 37 -8 28
13 Asiagoal 25 29 43 -14 21
14 Toktogul 25 28 37 -9 31
15 Abdish-Ata 25 20 49 -29 15
16 Kara-Balta 26 19 69 -50 9
Premier League Kyrgyzstan. Premier League Predictions