Statistics / Football / Kuwait. Division 1 / Ittihad Al-Shorta vs Sporty

Ittihad Al-Shorta vs Sporty Statistics & Analysis

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Ittihad Al-Shorta
Oct 14, 2026 - 14:45
2 1.47
1 1.13
xG Accuracy: 83%
Sporty Sporty
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ittihad Al-Shorta Ittihad Al-Shorta ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13896815

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ittihad Al-Shorta win · Ittihad Al-Shorta 2–1 Sporty
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 1
  • Fixture: Ittihad Al-Shorta vs Sporty
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 14:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
  • xG (showing): Ittihad Al-Shorta 1.47 — Sporty 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Division 1 Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Jazira 2 2 0 0 6
2 Ittihad Al-Shorta 2 2 0 0 6
3 Khaitan 1 1 0 0 3
4 Yarmouk 1 0 1 0 1
5 Burgan 2 0 1 1 1
6 Sporty 2 0 0 2 0
7 Shamiya 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Jazira 2 7 1 +6 6
2 Khaitan 1 6 1 +5 3
3 Ittihad Al-Shorta 2 3 1 +2 6
4 Sporty 2 2 8 -6 0
5 Shamiya 2 1 7 -6 0
6 Yarmouk 1 0 0 0 1
7 Burgan 2 0 1 -1 1