Statistics / Football / Paraguay. Copa Paraguay / Atlético Tembetary vs SOL DE America

Atlético Tembetary vs SOL DE America Statistics & Analysis

Atlético Tembetary Atlético Tembetary
Oct 14, 2026 - 20:00
2 1.15
3 1.45
xG Accuracy: 52%
SOL DE America SOL DE America
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 SOL DE America SOL DE America ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13903392

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result SOL DE America win · Atlético Tembetary 2–3 SOL DE America
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Copa Paraguay
  • Fixture: Atlético Tembetary vs SOL DE America
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Atlético Tembetary 1.15 — SOL DE America 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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