Statistics / Football / Tunisia. Ligue 2 / CO Medenine vs AS Kasserine

CO Medenine vs AS Kasserine Statistics & Analysis

CO Medenine CO Medenine
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.25
3 1.35
xG Accuracy: 45%
AS Kasserine AS Kasserine
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 AS Kasserine AS Kasserine ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13645831

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AS Kasserine win · CO Medenine 0–3 AS Kasserine
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue 2
  • Fixture: CO Medenine vs AS Kasserine
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): CO Medenine 1.25 — AS Kasserine 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue 2 Ligue 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 EM Mahdia 3 2 1 0 7
2 Mégrine 3 2 1 0 7
3 Redeyef 3 2 0 1 6
4 Korba 3 2 0 1 6
5 AS Kasserine 2 2 0 0 6
6 JS Kairouanaise 2 2 0 0 6
7 M'saken 3 1 2 0 5
8 Sfax Railways 3 1 2 0 5
9 AS Soliman 3 1 1 1 4
10 Stade Soussien 3 1 1 1 4
11 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 4
12 CS Chebba 3 1 1 1 4
13 BS Bouhajla 3 1 1 1 4
14 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 3
15 Kalaâ Sport 2 1 0 1 3
16 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 3
17 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 3
18 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 3
19 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 2
20 Béni-Khalled 3 0 2 1 2
21 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1
22 Olympique du Kef 2 0 1 1 1
23 AS Gabes 3 0 1 2 1
24 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 1
25 Moknine 2 0 1 1 1
26 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 0
27 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 0
28 EGS Gafsa 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Redeyef 3 6 1 +5 6
2 EM Mahdia 3 6 4 +2 7
3 Mégrine 3 6 4 +2 7
4 AS Soliman 3 6 4 +2 4
5 Stade Soussien 3 5 3 +2 4
6 Korba 3 4 1 +3 6
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 4 2 +2 3
8 M'saken 3 4 3 +1 5
9 AS Kasserine 2 3 1 +2 6
10 CS Chebba 3 3 3 0 4
11 JS Kairouanaise 2 2 0 +2 6
12 Sfax Railways 3 2 1 +1 5
13 Kalaâ Sport 2 2 2 0 3
14 Béni-Khalled 3 2 3 -1 2
15 BS Bouhajla 3 2 4 -2 4
16 US Tataouine 2 2 4 -2 3
17 AS Gabes 3 2 4 -2 1
18 Kerkennah 2 2 4 -2 0
19 AS Agareb 2 2 5 -3 1
20 Ksour Essef 2 1 0 +1 4
21 Jendouba Sport 2 1 1 0 3
22 Stade Gabesien 2 1 1 0 2
23 Ariana 2 1 2 -1 1
24 Bouchamma 2 1 3 -2 3
25 CO Medenine 2 1 3 -2 0
26 EGS Gafsa 2 1 5 -4 0
27 Olympique du Kef 2 0 1 -1 1
28 Moknine 2 0 3 -3 1