Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra Statistics & Analysis

Renaissance Berkane

Oct 13, 2026 - 18:00

2 1.49

2 1.11

xG Accuracy: 68%

CR Khemis Zemamra

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Renaissance Berkane Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13665171

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Renaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Botola Pro
Fixture: Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra
Kickoff: 2026-10-13 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 44.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away 26.7%
xG (showing): Renaissance Berkane 1.49 — CR Khemis Zemamra 1.11 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 53.5% · Implied: 42.8% · Probability edge: +10.7 pts · Est. EV: +18.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Botola Pro — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Hassania Agadir	4	2	1	1	7
2	Ittihad Tanger	4	2	1	1	7
3	UTS Rabat	3	2	1	0	7
4	Maghreb Fès	4	2	1	1	7
5	Kawkab Marrakech	3	2	0	1	6
6	Raja Casablanca	3	1	2	0	5
7	CODM Meknès	3	1	1	1	4
8	FAR Rabat	2	1	1	0	4
9	Wydad AC	3	1	1	1	4
10	Widad Témara	3	1	0	2	3
11	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3	0	3
12	Moghreb Tetouan	3	0	3	0	3
13	Difaa EL Jadida	3	1	0	2	3
14	Amal Tiznit	3	1	0	2	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	0	2	2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	0	1	3	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Hassania Agadir	4	11	8	+3	7
2	Ittihad Tanger	4	7	5	+2	7
3	Difaa EL Jadida	3	7	10	-3	3
4	CODM Meknès	3	6	3	+3	4
5	Maghreb Fès	4	5	4	+1	7
6	Kawkab Marrakech	3	5	4	+1	6
7	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	5	10	-5	1
8	Amal Tiznit	3	4	8	-4	3
9	UTS Rabat	3	3	1	+2	7
10	FAR Rabat	2	3	2	+1	4
11	Wydad AC	3	3	3	0	4
12	Widad Témara	3	3	3	0	3
13	Raja Casablanca	3	2	1	+1	5
14	Renaissance Berkane	3	2	2	0	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	2	4	-2	2
16	Moghreb Tetouan	3	1	1	0	3