Statistics / Football / World. Gulf Cup of Nations / Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates

Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates Statistics & Analysis

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
Oct 06, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.35
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 59%
United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13202232

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Saudi Arabia win · Saudi Arabia 2–0 United Arab Emirates
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Gulf Cup of Nations
  • Fixture: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-06 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Saudi Arabia 1.35 — United Arab Emirates 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 34.4% · Probability edge: +13.8 pts · Est. EV: +44.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Gulf Cup of Nations Gulf Cup of Nations — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Saudi Arabia 3 3 0 0 9
2 Oman 3 1 1 1 4
3 Iraq 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kuwait 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Saudi Arabia 3 6 0 +6 9
2 Oman 3 4 5 -1 4
3 Iraq 3 4 5 -1 4
4 Kuwait 3 3 7 -4 0