Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica Statistics & Analysis

Oct 14, 2026 - 13:00

1(2) 1.32

1(4) 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13895728

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Bokelj 1–1 Buducnost Podgorica

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Cup
Fixture: Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica
Kickoff: 2026-10-14 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Bokelj 1.32 — Buducnost Podgorica 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 38.0% · Probability edge: +10.2 pts · Est. EV: +20.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Back to Statistics